EMBJ3:BMFBOVESPAEmbraer S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
R$96.62
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Embraer S.A. is bullish at BRL 96.62, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. It has gained 12.2% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 58.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near BRL 91.84 and resistance around BRL 102.79.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 30.7 sits in line with the sector average of 28.0. Consensus targets land 15.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a 5.3% profit margin. The 1.16% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 25.4%, a beta of 1.06 and a maximum drawdown of 34.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 4/10.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 30.7 sits in line with the sector average of 28.0. Consensus targets land 15.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a 5.3% profit margin. The 1.16% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 25.4%, a beta of 1.06 and a maximum drawdown of 34.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 4/10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 85.75
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 30.7 versus sector average of 28.0
- Trading above the 200-day average of 85.75
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 30.7 versus sector average of 28.0
- Analyst targets imply +15.9% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +10.4%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin5.28%
P/E Ratio30.7
ROE12.19%
ROA3.70%
Debt/Equity68.91
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowR$6.3B
Free Cash FlowR$1.7B
Industry P/E28.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.6
SupportR$91.84
ResistanceR$102.79
MA 20R$96.55
MA 50R$90.50
MA 200R$85.75
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.07
Valuation
Fair ValueR$42.21
Target PriceR$111.99
Upside/Downside15.91%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.16%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.06
Volatility25.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.