ELPE:ATHEXHELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time
€10.33
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
HELLENiQ ENERGY is trading at €10.33, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈€10.04) and 50‑day (≈€9.86) moving averages and also above the 200‑day SMA (≈€8.88), indicating a sustained bullish trend. The MACD histogram is positive (≈0.027) and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits at 58, suggesting momentum remains intact without being overbought. Support at €9.43 and resistance at €10.68 frame the price, and the current level leaves modest upside potential before hitting the ceiling. The stock’s P/E of 7.0 is far below the industry average of 22.6, and the price‑to‑book of 1.18 further underscores an attractive valuation. Dividend yield of 4.37% with a payout ratio of just 30% adds income appeal, supported by solid operating cash flow of €959 m and free cash flow of €120 m. However, revenue is flat to slightly negative (‑0.5% YoY) and the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity of 114%, though the debt level is manageable given cash reserves. Recent Q1 2026 results highlighted an adjusted EBITDA of €293 m from refining and the full consolidation of Enerwave, signalling operational resilience amid regional supply challenges. Volatility remains elevated at ~30% over the past 30 days, and trading volume has been decreasing, which could affect short‑term liquidity. Overall, the combination of strong dividend sustainability, deep value relative to peers, and bullish technicals makes ELPE a compelling candidate for investors seeking income and upside in the energy sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- Support level intact at €9.43
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Valuation remains compelling vs industry peers
- Flat revenue growth and high leverage require monitoring
- Potential volatility from regional geopolitical tensions
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend income and strong cash generation
- Undervalued fundamentals (low P/E, P/B) offering upside
- Strategic diversification across refining, petrochemicals, power and renewables
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin3.85%
P/E Ratio7.0
ROE15.51%
ROA5.50%
Debt/Equity113.99
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow€959.9M
Free Cash Flow€119.9M
Industry P/E22.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.2
Support€9.43
Resistance€10.68
MA 20€10.04
MA 50€9.86
MA 200€8.88
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.25
Valuation
Target Price€9.56
Upside/Downside-7.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility29.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.