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EFX:NYSEEquifax, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-24 - not real-time

$152.53

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Equifax (EFX) is trading just above its 20‑day SMA at roughly $152, yet remains below the 200‑day SMA, indicating a longer‑term bearish bias. The MACD line sits under the signal line and the histogram is negative, while the RSI at the mid‑30s points to oversold conditions that could spark a short‑term bounce. Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued – its forward PE of around 15 is well under the industry average of 31, and the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $160 suggests a ~5% upside. Revenue is growing at double‑digit rates (≈14%), margins are solid (gross >56%, operating >17%), and free cash flow exceeds $1 bn, supporting the 1.5% dividend with a comfortable payout ratio under 40%. Volatility is elevated (≈40% 30‑day) and beta is modest, reflecting a stock that can swing sharply but is less correlated than the broader market. The upcoming conference presentations and recent analyst coverage reinforce confidence in the earnings outlook, while the stock’s proximity to a key support level around $150 adds a technical catalyst for upside if it holds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions near support
  • Potential bounce if support at $150.75 holds

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and industry PE
  • Strong revenue growth and expanding free cash flow
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable data and analytics franchise with recurring revenue
  • Long‑term secular demand for credit and identity solutions
  • Solid ROE and low debt‑to‑equity relative to cash generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.30%
Profit Margin11.12%
P/E Ratio26.9
ROE14.37%
ROA6.27%
Debt/Equity113.35
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.0B
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.7
Support$150.75
Resistance$179.62
MA 20$164.59
MA 50$170.25
MA 200$202.58
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29

Valuation

Fair Value$159.74
Target Price$222.43
Upside/Downside45.83%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility40.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.