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EFX:NYSEEquifax, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$159.58

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Equifax (EFX) is trading just above its discounted cash‑flow fair value, with the market price hovering around $160 versus a DCF estimate of roughly $158, suggesting a *fair* valuation at the moment. The stock sits below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at over 34%, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, yet the RSI of 38 points to a modest oversold condition and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a potential short‑term bounce. Recent earnings beat expectations, revenue grew 14% year‑over‑year, and free cash flow remains robust, supporting the current 1.4% dividend with a comfortable payout ratio under 40%. The company also earned a leadership spot in Javelin Strategy & Research’s 2026 Identity Protection Vendor Scorecard and launched a new partnership in Poland, providing a fresh growth catalyst in its core consumer‑identity segment.
From a fundamentals perspective, the forward PE of about 15× and a forward‑PE advantage over the industry average signal a *blend* of growth and value characteristics, while a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100% is mitigated by strong operating cash flow and a modest beta, keeping overall risk moderate. The diversified geographic footprint spreads exposure, and the increasing volume trend enhances liquidity, making the stock a candidate for a *buy* on the short‑term rebound and a *hold* or *buy* on medium to long horizons as the business capitalizes on data‑analytics demand and dividend income.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggests near‑term upside
  • Support level near $154 provides downside cushion
  • Positive identity‑protection award and new partnership boost sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation is close to fair value with limited upside
  • Stable cash flow sustains dividend and debt servicing
  • Revenue growth and expanding data services underpin earnings stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for credit and identity data analytics
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Strategic global expansion mitigates concentration risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.30%
Profit Margin11.12%
P/E Ratio28.1
ROE14.37%
ROA6.27%
Debt/Equity113.35
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.0B
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.1
Support$153.91
Resistance$179.62
MA 20$165.71
MA 50$173.43
MA 200$205.51
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value$158.53
Target Price$223.24
Upside/Downside39.89%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility34.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.