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EE:NYSEExcelerate Energy, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

$33.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Excelerate Energy (EE) is trading at $33.13, notably below its DCF‑derived fair value of $34.73, implying an upside of roughly 26% and positioning the stock as potentially undervalued. Revenue growth of 37.6% YoY and a forward EPS of $2.13 suggest accelerating earnings, while the forward P/E of 15.6 contrasts sharply with a trailing P/E of 27.8 and the industry average of 21.8, underscoring a growth tilt. The company maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.98% with a low payout ratio of 25%, indicating dividend sustainability. Technicals show the price below both the 20‑day (34.0) and 50‑day (34.09) SMAs, a bearish MACD, and an RSI near 45, suggesting neutral momentum but room for a bounce toward the $36.74 resistance. Volume is increasing, yet daily turnover remains thin relative to its 10‑day average, highlighting liquidity constraints. The sector’s midstream energy focus carries medium regulatory and geographic risk, while the stock’s low beta (≈0.47) tempers market‑wide volatility exposure. Recent news highlights a strong Q1 performance and investor interest in valuation amid an Iraq LNG delay, reinforcing confidence in the company’s growth narrative.
Given the blend of solid fundamentals, attractive valuation upside, and manageable risk profile, EE appears well‑positioned for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation, though short‑term traders should monitor support at $31.53 and potential volatility spikes.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating potential rebound
  • Increasing volume suggesting renewed buying interest
  • Support level at $31.53 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 37.6% and improving forward EPS
  • DCF upside of ~26% and analyst median target near $41.5
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term LNG demand growth supporting core business
  • Balanced risk profile with low beta and manageable debt load
  • Undervalued valuation relative to DCF and forward earnings multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.60%
Profit Margin2.98%
P/E Ratio27.8
ROE7.88%
ROA5.56%
Debt/Equity63.03
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$366.4M
Free Cash Flow$135.1M
Industry P/E21.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support$31.53
Resistance$36.74
MA 20$34.00
MA 50$34.09
MA 200$31.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.5

Valuation

Fair Value$34.73
Target Price$41.71
Upside/Downside25.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility36.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.