EDUC:NASDAQEducational Development Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$1.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Educational Development Corporation trades at a **trailing P/E of 3.18**, dramatically below the publishing industry average of 17.23, and its DCF‑derived fair value of **$37.28** is more than 20× the current price of $1.495, indicating a deep valuation disconnect. The stock is also **underpriced on a price‑to‑book basis (0.28×)** and shows a **low beta of 0.61**, suggesting limited market volatility. Technically, the price sits above the 20‑day (1.444) and 200‑day (1.344) SMAs, the MACD line is bullish, but the **RSI is 76**, flagging an overbought condition, while volume trends are decreasing, hinting at waning short‑term momentum.
Fundamentally, the company faces a **revenue decline of 36.6%**, a **negative operating margin (-21.5%)**, and a high **debt‑to‑equity ratio (15.13)**, yet it generates positive operating cash flow and an unusually large free cash flow figure, providing a modest liquidity cushion. The lack of dividend and a modest market cap (~$12.7 M) raise liquidity concerns, but the low volatility, strong valuation upside, and potential for a turnaround support a **value‑oriented investment thesis**.
Fundamentally, the company faces a **revenue decline of 36.6%**, a **negative operating margin (-21.5%)**, and a high **debt‑to‑equity ratio (15.13)**, yet it generates positive operating cash flow and an unusually large free cash flow figure, providing a modest liquidity cushion. The lack of dividend and a modest market cap (~$12.7 M) raise liquidity concerns, but the low volatility, strong valuation upside, and potential for a turnaround support a **value‑oriented investment thesis**.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought territory (76)
- Decreasing volume trend
- Price approaching resistance at $1.54
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Massive valuation gap (DCF $37.28 vs $1.495)
- Low beta indicating limited downside volatility
- Positive operating cash flow despite earnings loss
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained undervaluation on multiple multiples
- Potential for turnaround in revenue and margins
- Sector stability with low regulatory exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-36.60%
Profit Margin16.11%
P/E Ratio3.2
ROE9.32%
ROA-5.60%
Debt/Equity15.13
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.4M
Free Cash Flow$24.7M
Industry P/E17.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI76.5
Support$1.30
Resistance$1.54
MA 20$1.44
MA 50$1.37
MA 200$1.34
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
Fair Value$37.28
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.61
Volatility18.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.