EDF:NYSEVirtus Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$5.57
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $5.57, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $5.40 and the 50‑day SMA of $5.27, indicating a sustained bullish bias. RSI at 66 and a bullish MACD histogram reinforce the upside momentum, while price remains near the 52‑week high of $5.64 with support at $5.15. The dividend yield of 12.93% is exceptionally high for a closed‑end fund, and the recent announcement of a monthly distribution adds immediate income appeal. Market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 92 (Extreme Greed), and the fund trades at a neutral premium/discount of zero with stable volume.
Technicals suggest limited downside, but the 30‑day volatility of roughly 17% and a max drawdown of 10.5% signal moderate price swings. The low beta of 0.31 points to limited correlation with broader equity markets, yet emerging‑market exposure introduces currency and sector concentration risks that merit caution in longer horizons.
Technicals suggest limited downside, but the 30‑day volatility of roughly 17% and a max drawdown of 10.5% signal moderate price swings. The low beta of 0.31 points to limited correlation with broader equity markets, yet emerging‑market exposure introduces currency and sector concentration risks that merit caution in longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA cross)
- High current dividend yield and announced distribution
- Zero discount/premium and stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained income generation from elevated yield
- Low beta suggesting limited market‑wide volatility
- Favorable market sentiment (Extreme Greed) supporting price appreciation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Emerging‑market currency and sector concentration risk
- Potential for volatility spikes despite low beta
- Reliance on continued high distributions to justify valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price5.57
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI66.3
Support$5.15
Resistance$5.64
MA 20$5.40
MA 50$5.27
MA 200$5.06
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility16.96%
Sector RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.