ECC:NYSEEagle Point Credit Company Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time
$4.06
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $4.06, just above the 20‑day SMA of 4.103 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 4.037, but far below the 200‑day SMA of 5.321, indicating a near‑term bounce potential within a longer‑term downtrend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 46.9, suggesting neutral pressure, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, reinforcing a cautious outlook. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility of 20.3% combined with a historic max drawdown of -55.7% highlight the fund’s price sensitivity. The current market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear & Greed Index 83), yet the fund’s high dividend yield of 29.56% and forward P/E of 5.1 keep income‑focused investors interested.
Recent material news shows the portfolio is heavily weighted toward CLO equity (≈67%) with a shift toward non‑CLO credit assets in the latest $100 million deployment, delivering an average effective yield of 18.9%. However, NAV fell sharply to $4.17 from $5.70 at year‑end due to leveraged loan and CLO market weakness, prompting a reduction in the monthly distribution to $0.06 per share. While management reports stable fundamentals and a NAV rebound in April, the concentration in high‑yield credit and the recent distribution cut underscore elevated concentration and sector risks.
Recent material news shows the portfolio is heavily weighted toward CLO equity (≈67%) with a shift toward non‑CLO credit assets in the latest $100 million deployment, delivering an average effective yield of 18.9%. However, NAV fell sharply to $4.17 from $5.70 at year‑end due to leveraged loan and CLO market weakness, prompting a reduction in the monthly distribution to $0.06 per share. While management reports stable fundamentals and a NAV rebound in April, the concentration in high‑yield credit and the recent distribution cut underscore elevated concentration and sector risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near immediate support at $4.00
- Bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High dividend yield providing income cushion
- Portfolio shift toward non‑CLO assets improving credit diversification
- Neutral RSI indicating no strong directional bias
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential NAV recovery as credit markets stabilize
- Attractive forward P/E around 5x
- Low price‑to‑book ratio (<1) suggesting undervaluation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price4.06
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
Support$4.00
Resistance$4.38
MA 20$4.10
MA 50$4.04
MA 200$5.32
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility20.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.