EAF:NYSEGrafTech International Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$7.66
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $7.66, GrafTech International Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have gained 17.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 56.1 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $6.32 as support and $8.29 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Consensus targets land 5.4% below where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 3.4% on a -34.6% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 73.9%, a beta of 1.83 and a maximum drawdown of 73.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but sell on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Consensus targets land 5.4% below where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 3.4% on a -34.6% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 73.9%, a beta of 1.83 and a maximum drawdown of 73.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but sell on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
BROOKLYN HEIGHTS, Ohio, July 23, 2026--GrafTech International Ltd.GrafTech beat earnings and revenue estimates while signaling a pricing turnaround: volume surged 8% year-over-year, but...GrafTech International Ltd EAF reports robust sales volume growth and strategic pricing initiatives despite facing...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.87
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of +17.5%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.87
- Analyst targets imply -5.4% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 73.9%
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -34.6%
- Analyst targets imply -5.4% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -3.4%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.40%
Profit Margin-34.58%
P/E Ratio-1.8
ROA-5.00%
P/B Ratio-0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-79740000
Free Cash Flow$-43494000
Industry P/E28.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.1
Support$6.32
Resistance$8.29
MA 20$7.35
MA 50$6.93
MA 200$9.87
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.21
Valuation
Target Price$7.25
Upside/Downside-5.35%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.83
Volatility73.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.