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DY:NYSEDycom Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$456.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dycom Industries posted a record Q1 with revenue soaring 56% year‑over‑year and adjusted EPS of $4.42, prompting management to lift the FY27 revenue outlook to $7.38‑$7.65 billion. Forward earnings are projected to double from $10.46 trailing EPS to $20.04, and analysts have raised their price targets to a mean of $637, implying roughly 40% upside from the current $456.65 price. However, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 43.7 versus an industry average of 31.4, and the DCF‑derived fair value sits near $264, indicating the market is pricing in a substantial premium. Technically, the price sits below the 20‑day SMA (469.6) while remaining above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and volume has been on a decreasing trend, all pointing to short‑term momentum weakness. The company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 158% and a beta of 1.57, contributing to elevated volatility (30‑day volatility ~79%) and risk. Despite these concerns, the business benefits from robust demand for fiber and telecom infrastructure, a solid ROE of 19.7%, and a growing top line, which underpin a longer‑term growth narrative. The lack of dividend and the high valuation suggest investors are paying for growth rather than cash returns. Overall, Dycom sits at the intersection of strong growth fundamentals and significant valuation and risk headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day SMA and bearish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning short‑term momentum
  • Current valuation well above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 56% revenue growth and raised FY27 outlook
  • Forward EPS expected to double, lowering forward P/E to ~22.8
  • Analyst consensus targets suggesting ~40% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained demand for fiber and telecom infrastructure
  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity 158%) and elevated beta
  • Valuation premium may persist but growth fundamentals remain strong

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth56.10%
Profit Margin4.98%
P/E Ratio43.7
ROE19.70%
ROA6.76%
Debt/Equity158.20
P/B Ratio7.2
Op. Cash Flow$671.9M
Free Cash Flow$288.3M
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.9
Support$405.29
Resistance$566.47
MA 20$469.62
MA 50$438.10
MA 200$360.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$264.22
Target Price$637.27
Upside/Downside39.55%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.57
Volatility79.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.