DY:NYSEDycom Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$456.65
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Dycom Industries posted a record Q1 with revenue soaring 56% year‑over‑year and adjusted EPS of $4.42, prompting management to lift the FY27 revenue outlook to $7.38‑$7.65 billion. Forward earnings are projected to double from $10.46 trailing EPS to $20.04, and analysts have raised their price targets to a mean of $637, implying roughly 40% upside from the current $456.65 price. However, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 43.7 versus an industry average of 31.4, and the DCF‑derived fair value sits near $264, indicating the market is pricing in a substantial premium. Technically, the price sits below the 20‑day SMA (469.6) while remaining above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and volume has been on a decreasing trend, all pointing to short‑term momentum weakness. The company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 158% and a beta of 1.57, contributing to elevated volatility (30‑day volatility ~79%) and risk. Despite these concerns, the business benefits from robust demand for fiber and telecom infrastructure, a solid ROE of 19.7%, and a growing top line, which underpin a longer‑term growth narrative. The lack of dividend and the high valuation suggest investors are paying for growth rather than cash returns. Overall, Dycom sits at the intersection of strong growth fundamentals and significant valuation and risk headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day SMA and bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume indicating waning short‑term momentum
- Current valuation well above DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 56% revenue growth and raised FY27 outlook
- Forward EPS expected to double, lowering forward P/E to ~22.8
- Analyst consensus targets suggesting ~40% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained demand for fiber and telecom infrastructure
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity 158%) and elevated beta
- Valuation premium may persist but growth fundamentals remain strong
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth56.10%
Profit Margin4.98%
P/E Ratio43.7
ROE19.70%
ROA6.76%
Debt/Equity158.20
P/B Ratio7.2
Op. Cash Flow$671.9M
Free Cash Flow$288.3M
Industry P/E31.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.9
Support$405.29
Resistance$566.47
MA 20$469.62
MA 50$438.10
MA 200$360.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$264.22
Target Price$637.27
Upside/Downside39.55%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.57
Volatility79.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.