DRI:NYSEDarden Restaurants, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time
$210.41
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Darden Restaurants (DRI) is trading at $210.41, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 202.09 and the 50‑day SMA of 198.77, with the 200‑day SMA at 195.81, confirming a sustained bullish trend. The RSI of 62 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.22) reinforce upward momentum, while the stock remains above its key support at $189.97 and below resistance at $214.14, offering a clear upside corridor. Volatility is elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.34 indicates the share moves less than the broader market, and volume has stayed stable, supporting liquidity.
Fundamentally, DRI posted 5.9% revenue growth YoY with solid operating (13.2%) and profit margins (8.7%). An extraordinary ROE of 51.5% reflects efficient earnings generation, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 380% signals leverage risk. The company pays a $6 dividend yielding 2.87% and a payout ratio of 62%, backed by $678 M of free cash flow, suggesting dividend sustainability. Analysts average a target price near $228, implying modest upside (~7.5%), and the upcoming fiscal‑2026 earnings release on June 25 could act as a catalyst.
Fundamentally, DRI posted 5.9% revenue growth YoY with solid operating (13.2%) and profit margins (8.7%). An extraordinary ROE of 51.5% reflects efficient earnings generation, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 380% signals leverage risk. The company pays a $6 dividend yielding 2.87% and a payout ratio of 62%, backed by $678 M of free cash flow, suggesting dividend sustainability. Analysts average a target price near $228, implying modest upside (~7.5%), and the upcoming fiscal‑2026 earnings release on June 25 could act as a catalyst.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup with price near resistance
- Upcoming earnings announcement adds near‑term volatility
- Stable trading volume and low beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus target price provides ~7‑8% upside
- Consistent dividend yield and payout sustainability
- Steady revenue growth and strong operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and diversified restaurant portfolio
- Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors
- Long‑term brand strength offsetting leverage concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.90%
Profit Margin8.66%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE51.54%
ROA7.26%
Debt/Equity387.68
P/B Ratio11.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.7B
Free Cash Flow$678.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.1
Support$189.97
Resistance$214.14
MA 20$202.09
MA 50$198.77
MA 200$195.81
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.95
Valuation
Fair Value$31.34
Target Price$226.23
Upside/Downside7.52%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Volatility24.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.