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DPZ:NASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-29 - not real-time

$348.14

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Domino's shares are trading around $348, comfortably below the 20‑day SMA of $387 and the 200‑day SMA of $425, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 27.9 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD remains in a bearish divergence, though price is hugging a firm support level near $346. Volatility is elevated at roughly 32% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.44 suggests limited market‑wide risk exposure and the volume trend remains stable.
Fundamentally, the company generated $4.94 B in revenue with a 3.1% YoY growth and maintains healthy operating (18%) and profit margins (12%). EPS is projected to rise to $21.51, supporting a forward PE of 16.2, and the dividend yields 2.29% with a 39.6% payout, indicating sustainable income. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a median price target of $485, implying roughly 37% upside, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that favors the upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price near strong support at $346
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median target of $485 suggesting ~37% upside
  • Solid cash flow and sustainable dividend
  • Modest revenue growth and stable operating margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Franchise‑centric business model with global expansion potential
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Consistent dividend yield and attractive payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin12.18%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROA34.56%
P/B Ratio-3.1
Op. Cash Flow$792.1M
Free Cash Flow$508.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI27.9
Support$346.39
Resistance$416.59
MA 20$387.24
MA 50$393.56
MA 200$424.95
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$81.10
Target Price$478.58
Upside/Downside37.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility32.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.