DPZ:NASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-29 - not real-time
$348.14
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Domino's shares are trading around $348, comfortably below the 20‑day SMA of $387 and the 200‑day SMA of $425, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 27.9 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD remains in a bearish divergence, though price is hugging a firm support level near $346. Volatility is elevated at roughly 32% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.44 suggests limited market‑wide risk exposure and the volume trend remains stable.
Fundamentally, the company generated $4.94 B in revenue with a 3.1% YoY growth and maintains healthy operating (18%) and profit margins (12%). EPS is projected to rise to $21.51, supporting a forward PE of 16.2, and the dividend yields 2.29% with a 39.6% payout, indicating sustainable income. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a median price target of $485, implying roughly 37% upside, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that favors the upside potential.
Fundamentally, the company generated $4.94 B in revenue with a 3.1% YoY growth and maintains healthy operating (18%) and profit margins (12%). EPS is projected to rise to $21.51, supporting a forward PE of 16.2, and the dividend yields 2.29% with a 39.6% payout, indicating sustainable income. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a median price target of $485, implying roughly 37% upside, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that favors the upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price near strong support at $346
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst median target of $485 suggesting ~37% upside
- Solid cash flow and sustainable dividend
- Modest revenue growth and stable operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Franchise‑centric business model with global expansion potential
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Consistent dividend yield and attractive payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin12.18%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROA34.56%
P/B Ratio-3.1
Op. Cash Flow$792.1M
Free Cash Flow$508.7M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI27.9
Support$346.39
Resistance$416.59
MA 20$387.24
MA 50$393.56
MA 200$424.95
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Fair Value$81.10
Target Price$478.58
Upside/Downside37.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.44
Volatility32.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.