DOCU:NASDAQDocuSign, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
$47.05
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
DocuSign trades around $47.05, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $117.43, implying an upside of roughly 66% and positioning the stock as significantly undervalued. The company delivers solid profitability with a gross margin near 79%, operating margin above 10%, and free cash flow exceeding $1.1 bn, while revenue is still growing at 8.4% YoY and forward earnings suggest a forward P/E of just 11.4. Technical signals are mixed: the price sits beneath the 20‑day (≈45.85) and 50‑day (≈52.45) SMAs, the 30‑day volatility is high at 55%, and beta is above 1, indicating heightened market sensitivity, yet the MACD histogram is positive and recent news of an AI partnership with Anthropic could act as a short‑term catalyst. Given the bearish trend, decreasing volume, and support around $40.16, investors should weigh the strong fundamentals and valuation upside against near‑term price pressure before deciding on entry timing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages and bearish trend
- Positive MACD histogram and AI partnership news
- Significant valuation upside but near‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF and forward P/E
- Strong cash generation and improving earnings outlook
- AI‑enhanced product roadmap driving growth potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Secular shift to digital agreement and contract automation
- Robust margins and low debt supporting sustainable profitability
- Long‑run valuation upside and expanding addressable market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.40%
Profit Margin9.57%
P/E Ratio32.9
ROE15.22%
ROA4.38%
Debt/Equity7.59
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.1B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.6
Support$40.16
Resistance$50.31
MA 20$45.85
MA 50$52.45
MA 200$68.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$117.43
Target Price$78.28
Upside/Downside66.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility55.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.