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DOCU:NASDAQDocuSign, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$47.05

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DocuSign trades around $47.05, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $117.43, implying an upside of roughly 66% and positioning the stock as significantly undervalued. The company delivers solid profitability with a gross margin near 79%, operating margin above 10%, and free cash flow exceeding $1.1 bn, while revenue is still growing at 8.4% YoY and forward earnings suggest a forward P/E of just 11.4. Technical signals are mixed: the price sits beneath the 20‑day (≈45.85) and 50‑day (≈52.45) SMAs, the 30‑day volatility is high at 55%, and beta is above 1, indicating heightened market sensitivity, yet the MACD histogram is positive and recent news of an AI partnership with Anthropic could act as a short‑term catalyst. Given the bearish trend, decreasing volume, and support around $40.16, investors should weigh the strong fundamentals and valuation upside against near‑term price pressure before deciding on entry timing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages and bearish trend
  • Positive MACD histogram and AI partnership news
  • Significant valuation upside but near‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF and forward P/E
  • Strong cash generation and improving earnings outlook
  • AI‑enhanced product roadmap driving growth potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Secular shift to digital agreement and contract automation
  • Robust margins and low debt supporting sustainable profitability
  • Long‑run valuation upside and expanding addressable market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.40%
Profit Margin9.57%
P/E Ratio32.9
ROE15.22%
ROA4.38%
Debt/Equity7.59
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.1B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.6
Support$40.16
Resistance$50.31
MA 20$45.85
MA 50$52.45
MA 200$68.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$117.43
Target Price$78.28
Upside/Downside66.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility55.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.