DLO:NASDAQDLocal Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
$12.79
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
DLocal Limited is trading at $12.79, just above its 20‑day SMA of $11.99 but still below the 50‑day ($12.71) and 200‑day ($13.40) averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias despite a bullish MACD histogram (+0.18) and an RSI of 57 that suggests room for upside. Revenue surged 55% YoY to $1.21 B, with operating margins near 16% and a ROE of 35%, underscoring robust profitability. The company posted a record TPV of $14 B in Q1 2026, a 73% year‑over‑year jump, and analysts highlight its AI‑driven payment platform as a catalyst for future growth. Valuation metrics show a forward PE of 11.6 versus an industry average of 38, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $51.24, implying a substantial undervaluation gap. However, volatility is high at ~60% and beta is elevated (≈1.86), while trading volume is on a downtrend, which adds short‑term risk. Overall, the fundamentals and growth narrative are compelling, but technical momentum remains cautious.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance and below longer‑term moving averages
- Decreasing volume trend
- Bullish MACD but overall bearish technical bias
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue and TPV growth driven by AI‑enabled payment solutions
- Significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
- Favorable forward PE relative to industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high ROE and expanding margin profile
- Strategic positioning in emerging‑market digital payments
- Long‑term secular tailwinds in cross‑border commerce
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth54.90%
Profit Margin15.85%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE34.99%
ROA9.24%
Debt/Equity19.83
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$412.8M
Free Cash Flow$396.4M
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI57.4
Support$11.13
Resistance$12.99
MA 20$11.99
MA 50$12.71
MA 200$13.40
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.34
Valuation
Fair Value$51.24
Target Price$17.35
Upside/Downside35.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.86
Volatility59.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.