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DLO:NASDAQDLocal Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$12.79

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DLocal Limited is trading at $12.79, just above its 20‑day SMA of $11.99 but still below the 50‑day ($12.71) and 200‑day ($13.40) averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias despite a bullish MACD histogram (+0.18) and an RSI of 57 that suggests room for upside. Revenue surged 55% YoY to $1.21 B, with operating margins near 16% and a ROE of 35%, underscoring robust profitability. The company posted a record TPV of $14 B in Q1 2026, a 73% year‑over‑year jump, and analysts highlight its AI‑driven payment platform as a catalyst for future growth. Valuation metrics show a forward PE of 11.6 versus an industry average of 38, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $51.24, implying a substantial undervaluation gap. However, volatility is high at ~60% and beta is elevated (≈1.86), while trading volume is on a downtrend, which adds short‑term risk. Overall, the fundamentals and growth narrative are compelling, but technical momentum remains cautious.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance and below longer‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Bullish MACD but overall bearish technical bias

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue and TPV growth driven by AI‑enabled payment solutions
  • Significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
  • Favorable forward PE relative to industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high ROE and expanding margin profile
  • Strategic positioning in emerging‑market digital payments
  • Long‑term secular tailwinds in cross‑border commerce

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth54.90%
Profit Margin15.85%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE34.99%
ROA9.24%
Debt/Equity19.83
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$412.8M
Free Cash Flow$396.4M
Industry P/E38.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.4
Support$11.13
Resistance$12.99
MA 20$11.99
MA 50$12.71
MA 200$13.40
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.34

Valuation

Fair Value$51.24
Target Price$17.35
Upside/Downside35.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.86
Volatility59.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.