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DLN:LSEDerwent London plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

£2,048.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Derwent London (DLN.L) is trading at £2,048, just below its 52‑week resistance of £2,058 and comfortably above the identified support of £1,857. The stock sits above its 20‑day (£1,964) and 50‑day (£1,850) moving averages and is well above the 200‑day SMA (£1,771), confirming a bullish trend. Momentum indicators reinforce this view: the MACD line is bullish at 53.57 with a positive histogram, while the RSI is elevated at 70, hinting at near‑term overbought conditions. Volume is on a decreasing trajectory, suggesting a potential slowdown in buying pressure as the price approaches the resistance zone.
Fundamentally, DLN offers an attractive valuation profile with a trailing PE of 14.2x versus an industry average of 32.6x**, and a price‑to‑book of 0.64x. The REIT delivers a robust 4.01% dividend yield with a sustainable payout ratio of 56%, backed by solid cash generation (FCF ≈ £203m) and low leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~42%). ESG initiatives, including a net‑zero target for 2030, further bolster its long‑term appeal despite the concentration risk of a London‑centric office portfolio.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technicals (price above SMA20/50/200, MACD bullish)
  • Price near resistance with elevated RSI indicating possible short‑term pullback
  • Decreasing volume trend adding caution to near‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (~92%) and high operating margins
  • Attractive valuation relative to peers (PE 14.2x vs industry 32.6x, P/B 0.64x)
  • Solid dividend yield (4.01%) with sustainable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic asset regeneration and premium central‑London locations
  • Commitment to net‑zero carbon by 2030 enhancing ESG profile
  • Stable cash flow generation supporting dividend sustainability and potential capital recycling

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO9.977062175438597

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI70.0
Support£1,857.00
Resistance£2,058.00
MA 20£1,964.20
MA 50£1,849.64
MA 200£1,770.64
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.55

Risk Assessment

Beta0.38
Volatility22.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.