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DLN:LSEDerwent London plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

£1,677.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Derwent London (DLN) trades at £1,677, well below its 20‑day (£1,758), 50‑day (£1,829) and 200‑day (£1,809) simple moving averages, indicating a price lag despite a neutral overall trend. The RSI of 38 suggests the stock is approaching oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces short‑term downside pressure. However, the valuation is compelling: a trailing PE of 11.7 is dramatically lower than the REIT industry average of 32.6, and the dividend yield of 4.85% offers attractive income. Analysts see a 23% upside, with a fair‑value estimate around £2,062, and the stock’s low beta (~0.23) points to limited market volatility.
Fundamentally, DLN delivers strong profitability – revenue has nearly doubled (97% growth) and profit margins sit near 40%, supported by an EBITDA of £162.8 m. Leverage is moderate (debt‑to‑equity 42%) and cash flow remains robust (£202 m free cash flow). Recent material news – the £32 m disposal of the Tottenham Court Road asset, securing Sony Pictures as a marquee tenant at the Brunel Building, and the Crossrail‑linked development at 1 Oxford Street – provide catalysts that could accelerate rent growth and asset recycling. Combined with a sunny outlook for London office space, these factors underpin a bullish medium‑to‑long‑term thesis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
  • High dividend yield providing downside cushion
  • Recent asset sale and tenant acquisition may take time to reflect

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (PE 11.7 vs industry 32.6)
  • Projected 23% upside to fair‑value
  • Positive office market outlook and Crossrail development

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable cash flow and dividend policy
  • Strategic asset recycling and high‑profile tenants
  • Commitment to net‑zero carbon target enhancing ESG appeal

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO8.259293192982456

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
Support£1,657.00
Resistance£1,868.00
MA 20£1,758.55
MA 50£1,829.42
MA 200£1,809.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index73.95

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility32.63%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.