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DIS:NYSEWalt Disney Company (The) Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$103.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Disney’s stock is trading around $103, just above its computed support of $100 and well below the $110 resistance, with a neutral trend and an RSI of 48.7 indicating no clear overbought or oversold condition. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest short‑term pressure, yet the recent earnings release showed a 6.5% revenue increase YoY to $25.17 B and a non‑GAAP EPS of $1.57 that topped consensus, driving a 2.4% price uptick. Fundamentally, the company posts a PE of 16.48 versus an industry average of 17.0, a solid dividend yield of 1.46% with a modest 20% payout ratio, and a forward PE of 13.74, implying room for upside. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with a “strong_buy” consensus, a median price target of $131 and an implied upside of roughly 27% from current levels.
Given the undervalued valuation grade, blend of growth (6.5% revenue growth, streaming expansion) and value traits (stable dividend, cash generation), and a manageable debt profile, Disney appears positioned for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation. The risk profile is moderate, featuring a beta below 1, sector exposure to cyclical entertainment, and diversified geographic revenue streams, while the dividend remains sustainable. Investors should consider holding through the near‑term technical wobble and look to add on dips as the stock aligns with its longer‑term upside narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and positive revenue growth
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume indicating short‑term weakness
  • Price near technical support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus strong_buy with median target of $131
  • Undervalued relative to peers and forward earnings multiples
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong franchise moat and streaming expansion
  • Consistent revenue growth and healthy profit margins
  • Long‑term dividend sustainability and attractive total return potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin11.54%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE11.01%
ROA4.45%
Debt/Equity41.07
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$15.8B
Free Cash Flow$3.8B
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.7
Support$100.06
Resistance$110.48
MA 20$103.96
MA 50$101.32
MA 200$108.49
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$13.10
Target Price$129.48
Upside/Downside25.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility30.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.