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DG:NYSEDollar General Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$131.25

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dollar General Corporation trades at $131.25, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.5%. With RSI at 62.7 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $117.51 up to resistance at $132.50.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 17.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 5.4% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 5.2% on a 3.9% profit margin. The 1.86% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 34.9%, a beta of 0.49 and a maximum drawdown of 34.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 5/10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 125.68
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of +6.5%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 125.68
  • Analyst targets imply +5.4% versus the current price
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +5.4% versus the current price
  • P/E ratio of 17.1
  • Return on equity of 19.7%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin3.90%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE19.69%
ROA4.89%
Debt/Equity169.81
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$3.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.7
Support$117.51
Resistance$132.50
MA 20$123.66
MA 50$121.94
MA 200$125.68
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.7

Valuation

Fair Value$60.94
Target Price$138.32
Upside/Downside5.39%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility34.92%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.