DECK:NYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Deckers Outdoor (DECK) trades near $98, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $105, implying a material upside. The stock exhibits a bearish technical backdrop—20‑day SMA sits under the 50‑day SMA, MACD is negative and the RSI hovers in the mid‑40s—yet fundamentals remain robust with a 7% revenue growth rate, gross margin above 57%, operating margin over 31% and an ROE near 40%. Recent analyst upgrades (Bernstein to Market Perform, Piper Sandler to Neutral) and a strong brand‑level outlook have added to the positive sentiment, reflected in an “Extreme Greed” market mood. Volume is increasing, suggesting accumulating interest despite the short‑term bearish price action.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish MACD and SMA crossover indicating near‑term downside pressure
- RSI in neutral‑to‑oversold range offering limited upside cushion
- Support level around $92 providing a floor for price stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value with ~30% upside potential
- Strong operating margins and high ROE supporting earnings growth
- Analyst upgrades and positive brand performance outlook
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Durable brand portfolio (UGG, HOKA, Teva) driving sustainable revenue expansion
- High cash generation and low leverage enabling strategic investments
- Long‑term upside to $105+ fair value and potential for further multiple expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.