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DCC:LSEDCC Plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

£6,125.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DCC plc continues to generate solid cash flow despite flat revenue, and adjusted operating profit rose modestly year‑over‑year. The company’s dividend yield remains attractive, and the payout ratio, while high, is underpinned by strong free cash flow. Technical indicators show bullish momentum with the price comfortably above the short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, and the MACD histogram is positive, confirming an upward bias. However, the RSI is in the high zone, indicating that the stock may be approaching overbought conditions. The beta is low, suggesting limited sensitivity to broader market swings, yet recent volatility has been elevated, adding a layer of short‑term uncertainty. A clear support level lies well below the current price, providing a cushion against downside moves. Analyst fair‑value estimates sit above the market price, implying that the stock is priced on the lower side of its intrinsic range. Overall, the risk profile is moderate, making DCC a compelling value play with a reliable dividend stream.
Investors should weigh the strong cash generation and dividend appeal against the modest growth outlook and technical overbought signals. The blend of a bullish technical setup, undervalued valuation, and sustainable dividend makes the stock suitable for investors seeking income and potential upside, while remaining mindful of short‑term volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical overbought signal from RSI
  • Elevated short‑term volatility
  • Support level provides downside protection

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover confirming momentum
  • Undervalued price relative to fair‑value estimates
  • Sustainable dividend yield supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow generation and free cash flow coverage
  • Low beta indicating resilience to market swings
  • Consistent dividend policy enhancing long‑term yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin0.09%
P/E Ratio21.3
ROE10.38%
ROA3.60%
Debt/Equity98.36
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow£672.5M
Free Cash Flow£1.3B
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.0
Support£5,115.00
Resistance£6,345.00
MA 20£5,685.25
MA 50£5,168.41
MA 200£4,908.49
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Fair Value£17,866.71
Target Price£6,505.00
Upside/Downside6.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility40.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.