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DBK:XETRDeutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

€28.17

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Deutsche Bank trades at a trailing P/E of 8.9, well below the industry average of 16.8, and a price‑to‑book of 0.68, indicating a clear valuation gap. The stock yields 3.55% dividend with a modest payout ratio of 21.5%, and technicals show a bullish MACD histogram (+0.14) and an RSI of 59, suggesting limited downside while the price sits near the identified resistance of €28.35 and above the support of €25.80. Volatility remains elevated at ~28% over the past 30 days, but a beta of 0.68 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market.
The consensus analyst view is a “buy” with a median target of €33.5, implying upside of roughly 16% from the current €28.17 price. Risks stem from the banking sector’s regulatory environment and European macro‑economic exposure, yet the strong cash position, low leverage and sustainable dividend support a positive outlook across short‑, medium‑ and long‑term horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD with modest histogram expansion
  • Price approaching short‑term resistance at €28.35
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount vs peers (P/E 8.9 vs 16.8)
  • Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • Analyst consensus target median €33.5 indicating ~16% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong balance‑sheet with ample cash and low leverage
  • Sustainable dividend providing steady income
  • Long‑term price‑to‑book below 1 suggesting capital appreciation potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.20%
Profit Margin22.65%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE8.65%
ROA0.48%
P/B Ratio0.7
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.5
Support€25.80
Resistance€28.35
MA 20€27.09
MA 50€26.74
MA 200€29.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Target Price€32.77
Upside/Downside16.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.68
Volatility28.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.