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DASH:NASDAQDoorDash, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$146.60

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DoorDash trades at $146.6, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $204, implying roughly 75% upside. The stock sits beneath its 20‑day (165.8), 50‑day (179.6) and 200‑day (225.0) simple moving averages, and the MACD line remains in a bearish divergence with a negative histogram. RSI at 29 signals oversold conditions, while volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting buying interest may be building. The beta of ~1.35 and 30‑day volatility of 48% point to a high‑beta, volatile profile, and the recent price drop to the support level of $143.3 underscores the near‑term downside risk.
On the fundamentals side, DASH delivered 37.7% year‑over‑year revenue growth, a solid 52% gross margin and positive operating cash flow of $2.4 bn, leaving a healthy cash pile after debt. The forward PE of 19 versus a trailing PE of 69 indicates earnings acceleration, and a forward EPS forecast of $7.64 supports the valuation case. Recent news of the DoorDash Reservations rollout in Chicago expands its high‑margin restaurant‑booking franchise, while a Senate bill targeting special pricing deals introduces regulatory headwinds. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a median price target of $262, reinforcing the upside thesis. The company’s debt‑to‑equity ratio of 33% and ample cash position mitigate solvency concerns. Combined, the strong cash generation, growth trajectory and undervalued DCF stance favor a medium‑ to long‑term upside, but the bearish technicals and regulatory uncertainty temper short‑term expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technicals (price below SMAs, negative MACD)
  • Proximity to support level at $143.3
  • Regulatory uncertainty from Senate pricing bill

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and margin expansion
  • DCF valuation indicating ~75% upside
  • Positive analyst price targets and forward earnings acceleration

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Network effects and international marketplace expansion
  • Robust cash generation and manageable debt
  • Long‑term market share capture in on‑demand delivery

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.70%
Profit Margin6.82%
P/E Ratio68.8
ROE10.44%
ROA3.23%
Debt/Equity32.75
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.4B
Free Cash Flow$2.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI29.6
Support$143.30
Resistance$191.08
MA 20$165.80
MA 50$179.64
MA 200$225.01
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$204.19
Target Price$256.58
Upside/Downside75.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.35
Volatility48.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.