DALI:NASDAQFirst Trust Dorsey Wright DALI Equity ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$27.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The First Trust Dorsey Wright DALI 1 ETF (DALI) is trading at $26.99, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $28.09, 50‑day SMA of $29.34, and 200‑day SMA of $28.19, indicating a short‑term pullback despite a neutral overall trend. Technical signals such as an RSI of 35.86 suggest the ETF is nearing oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (line –0.62, signal –0.56) and a negative histogram reinforce downside pressure. Support at $26.76 is just below the current price, with resistance near $30.26, framing a tight trading range. Volume is decreasing and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 23.9%, pointing to reduced market participation and heightened price swings. Nonetheless, the fund has delivered a 5.91% YTD return and a modest 5.46% annualized return over three years, with a maximum drawdown of roughly 13%, which aligns with its beta of ~1.0 and a “Greed” sentiment reading of 66 on the fear‑greed index. The expense ratio of 0.9% is on the higher side for an ETF, but the zero tracking error and turnover suggest tight alignment with its underlying strategy. Overall, DALI appears positioned for a potential rebound if buying interest returns, but investors should monitor the support level and volume trends closely.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
- Decreasing volume and proximity to support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential rebound from oversold conditions
- Positive YTD performance and favorable market sentiment
- Low tracking error and alignment with strategy
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent multi‑year returns
- Beta near 1 and moderate volatility
- Low sector concentration and currency exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.90%
AUM$120.3M
Inception Date2018-05-14
Avg Daily Volume12,090
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.36%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.9
Support$26.76
Resistance$30.26
MA 20$28.09
MA 50$29.34
MA 200$28.19
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Risk Assessment
Beta1.01
Volatility23.89%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.