We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

DALI:NASDAQFirst Trust Dorsey Wright DALI Equity ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$27.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The First Trust Dorsey Wright DALI 1 ETF (DALI) is trading at $26.99, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $28.09, 50‑day SMA of $29.34, and 200‑day SMA of $28.19, indicating a short‑term pullback despite a neutral overall trend. Technical signals such as an RSI of 35.86 suggest the ETF is nearing oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (line –0.62, signal –0.56) and a negative histogram reinforce downside pressure. Support at $26.76 is just below the current price, with resistance near $30.26, framing a tight trading range. Volume is decreasing and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 23.9%, pointing to reduced market participation and heightened price swings. Nonetheless, the fund has delivered a 5.91% YTD return and a modest 5.46% annualized return over three years, with a maximum drawdown of roughly 13%, which aligns with its beta of ~1.0 and a “Greed” sentiment reading of 66 on the fear‑greed index. The expense ratio of 0.9% is on the higher side for an ETF, but the zero tracking error and turnover suggest tight alignment with its underlying strategy. Overall, DALI appears positioned for a potential rebound if buying interest returns, but investors should monitor the support level and volume trends closely.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume and proximity to support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential rebound from oversold conditions
  • Positive YTD performance and favorable market sentiment
  • Low tracking error and alignment with strategy

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent multi‑year returns
  • Beta near 1 and moderate volatility
  • Low sector concentration and currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.90%
AUM$120.3M
Inception Date2018-05-14
Avg Daily Volume12,090
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.36%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.9
Support$26.76
Resistance$30.26
MA 20$28.09
MA 50$29.34
MA 200$28.19
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Risk Assessment

Beta1.01
Volatility23.89%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.