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D:NYSEDominion Energy, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$62.91

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Dominion Energy trades around $62.9, notably below its DCF fair value of $79.7, implying a modest upside despite a recent 4% dip from recent highs. Revenue growth of 20% and an operating earnings guidance range of $3.45‑$3.69 per share support a bullish outlook, while the stock sits above the 20‑day SMA ($63.99) and the 50‑day SMA ($61.53), indicating a short‑term uptrend. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and Q4 earnings missed consensus, tempering short‑term momentum.
The utility offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.24% with a payout ratio near 76%, but free cash flow is negative and debt‑to‑equity stands at 150, raising questions about long‑term dividend sustainability. Overall, the combination of low beta (0.32), moderate volatility (18% 30‑day), and a supportive regulatory environment suggests a defensive profile, while the renewable wind projects add a growth catalyst for the medium to long term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Technical trend remains bullish but MACD signals weakness
  • Recent earnings miss and mixed earnings guidance
  • High dividend yield offering near‑term income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below DCF fair value indicating upside potential
  • Strong revenue growth and solid earnings guidance
  • Continued dividend attractiveness despite debt level

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable regulated cash flows underpinning defensive profile
  • Renewable energy projects expanding growth runway
  • Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.40%
Profit Margin18.16%
P/E Ratio18.1
ROE9.74%
ROA3.11%
Debt/Equity150.09
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$5.4B
Free Cash Flow$-9005875200
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.6
Support$60.77
Resistance$67.57
MA 20$63.99
MA 50$61.53
MA 200$59.73
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$79.65
Target Price$65.50
Upside/Downside4.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility18.28%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.