CVS:NYSECVS Health Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
$93.26
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CVS Health shares are trading at $93.26, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $89.23 and the 50‑day SMA of $80.67, indicating a bullish price momentum. The RSI of 65.4 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at a short‑term bearish wobble. Volatility remains elevated at 36.4% over the past 30 days, but a low beta (≈0.21) points to limited correlation with broader market swings. Fundamentally, the forward P/E of 11.15 contrasts sharply with the trailing P/E of 40.9, highlighting strong earnings growth expectations (forward EPS $8.36 vs trailing $2.28) and a 6.2% YoY revenue increase. However, a payout ratio of 116% raises concerns about dividend sustainability, and the DCF fair‑value estimate of $16.69 starkly undervalues the current price, flagging potential overvaluation. Recent material news – a significant raise in full‑year profit guidance and robust first‑quarter earnings – has driven a 9% share price rally and analyst upgrades, reinforcing short‑term optimism. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: bullish technical signals and strong growth prospects tempered by high valuation multiples and dividend sustainability risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat and raised profit forecast
- Bullish price above key moving averages
- Technical overbought signals and slight MACD bearish divergence
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong forward earnings growth (forward EPS $8.36)
- Attractive dividend yield of 2.85% despite payout ratio concerns
- Analyst upgrades and upside potential of ~9% to target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High valuation multiples relative to industry peers
- Sustained regulatory and healthcare policy risk
- Stable cash flow generation but dividend sustainability questions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.10%
Profit Margin0.72%
P/E Ratio40.9
ROE3.75%
ROA2.67%
Debt/Equity100.91
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$10.3B
Free Cash Flow$5.2B
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI65.4
Support$77.61
Resistance$98.43
MA 20$89.23
MA 50$80.67
MA 200$77.86
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$16.69
Target Price$101.88
Upside/Downside9.25%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility36.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.