CTVA:NYSECorteva, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time
$78.28
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Corteva is trading at $78.28, just above the calculated support of $78.13 and below its 20‑day ($80.90) and 50‑day ($81.26) moving averages, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. The bearish MACD histogram and a decreasing volume trend reinforce a neutral‑to‑slightly bearish short‑term bias, while the RSI of 41 indicates the stock is not yet oversold. On the valuation side, the DCF‑derived fair value of $78.96 places the market price within a modest discount, translating to an upside of roughly 15% when measured against the analyst median target of $90.
Fundamentally, CTVA delivers solid top‑line growth of 11% YoY, robust gross (48.6%) and operating (23.7%) margins, and a low debt‑to‑equity ratio of 13.6%, supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 0.92% with a 38% payout ratio. The forward PE of 19.1 contrasts sharply with the trailing PE of 42.3, indicating earnings acceleration, while the low beta (~0.3) and a high 30‑day volatility of 24% suggest limited market correlation but notable price swings. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target near $90, aligning with the upside potential from both DCF and consensus estimates.
Fundamentally, CTVA delivers solid top‑line growth of 11% YoY, robust gross (48.6%) and operating (23.7%) margins, and a low debt‑to‑equity ratio of 13.6%, supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 0.92% with a 38% payout ratio. The forward PE of 19.1 contrasts sharply with the trailing PE of 42.3, indicating earnings acceleration, while the low beta (~0.3) and a high 30‑day volatility of 24% suggest limited market correlation but notable price swings. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target near $90, aligning with the upside potential from both DCF and consensus estimates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- RSI indicating limited momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 11% and improving forward earnings
- Analyst consensus target around $90 (+15% upside)
- Sustainable dividend with comfortable payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong margin profile and low leverage
- Secular demand for seeds and crop protection solutions
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and favorable sector dynamics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin6.50%
P/E Ratio42.3
ROE5.14%
ROA4.33%
Debt/Equity13.64
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$2.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.3
Support$78.13
Resistance$84.32
MA 20$80.90
MA 50$81.26
MA 200$72.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Valuation
Fair Value$78.96
Target Price$89.90
Upside/Downside14.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.92%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility24.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.