CTRA:NYSECoterra Energy Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$35.63
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Coterra Energy’s fundamentals remain solid after the recent all‑stock merger with Devon Energy, delivering a larger, more diversified asset base and a stronger balance sheet. The 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day SMA and both are well above the 200‑day SMA, underscoring a bullish trend, while the RSI around the mid‑40s suggests room for upside without immediate overbought pressure. Technical signals are mixed – the MACD histogram is negative, hinting at short‑term bearish momentum, but the overall trend direction is still bullish and volume is increasing. Valuation metrics are attractive, with a trailing PE of ~15 versus an industry average above 21, and a forward PE under 11, positioning the stock as undervalued relative to peers. Dividend sustainability looks robust given a payout ratio near 40% and solid free cash flow generation.
The merger is expected to close imminently, potentially unlocking synergies and expanding production in the Permian, Marcellus, and Anadarko basins. While the energy sector faces commodity and regulatory headwinds, Coterra’s low beta and strong cash position mitigate market‑wide volatility, supporting a favorable outlook across multiple horizons.
The merger is expected to close imminently, potentially unlocking synergies and expanding production in the Permian, Marcellus, and Anadarko basins. While the energy sector faces commodity and regulatory headwinds, Coterra’s low beta and strong cash position mitigate market‑wide volatility, supporting a favorable outlook across multiple horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment supports upward bias
- MACD histogram negative indicates near‑term pressure
- Merger integration risk and pending close
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Completion of Devon‑Coterra merger adds scale and synergies
- Undervalued valuation relative to industry peers
- Strong operating and free cash flow underpin growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified basin exposure reduces geographic concentration
- Sustainable dividend with healthy payout ratio
- Energy transition pressures balanced by solid balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.60%
Profit Margin22.67%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE11.36%
ROA6.20%
Debt/Equity24.38
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$4.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Industry P/E21.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.5
Support$29.34
Resistance$36.31
MA 20$33.39
MA 50$33.19
MA 200$27.46
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.79
Valuation
Target Price$37.65
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.28
Volatility41.60%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.