CTAS:NASDAQCintas Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$174.78
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Cintas (CTAS) trades around $174.78, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $64, indicating a substantial premium. Revenue is growing at 9% YoY with a solid gross margin of ~50% and an impressive ROE of 41%, underscoring strong operational efficiency. The company generates robust cash flow, posting $2.2 bn in operating cash and $1.5 bn in free cash, while maintaining a modest payout ratio of 37%, which supports the dividend sustainability. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a mean target price near $212, implying roughly 21% upside from current levels. However, technical indicators signal a bearish short‑term bias: the price sits below the 20‑day (170.7) and 50‑day (175.8) SMAs, the 200‑day SMA sits at $191, and the MACD line is negative though the histogram is modestly bullish. RSI at 55 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and volume is stable but below average, limiting immediate price momentum. The stock’s beta of 0.48 and 30‑day volatility of ~21% point to relatively low market sensitivity but notable price swings. With a market cap of $70 bn and solid liquidity, CTAS is not prone to liquidity crunches. The sector—specialty business services—offers defensive characteristics, though regulatory exposure tied to safety and compliance services adds a medium‑level risk. Overall, the premium valuation and bearish technical stance temper enthusiasm, but the underlying fundamentals and dividend profile remain compelling for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish trend direction
- Stable but subdued trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high ROE
- Robust cash generation and sustainable dividend
- Analyst consensus and target price upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Recurring uniform rental and safety service model
- Resilient cash flow despite valuation premium
- Moderate regulatory exposure balanced by market leadership
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.90%
Profit Margin17.57%
P/E Ratio36.8
ROE41.30%
ROA15.94%
Debt/Equity60.94
P/B Ratio14.6
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.5B
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI55.2
Support$161.16
Resistance$178.25
MA 20$170.72
MA 50$175.78
MA 200$191.18
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.23
Valuation
Fair Value$64.45
Target Price$212.41
Upside/Downside21.53%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.03%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.48
Volatility21.50%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.