CSTM:NYSEConstellium SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$34.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Constellium’s share price is currently trading above both its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI near 51. The stock sits comfortably above the identified support level of $30.59 and below the resistance at $36.99, with a market price of $34, indicating limited downside risk in the near term. High beta (≈2.0) and a 30‑day volatility of nearly 50% suggest pronounced price swings, yet the DCF fair value of $77.8 points to substantial upside, echoed by an 8.6% upside/downside metric and a “Strong Buy” analyst consensus. Recent news highlights a remarkable 92.9% price gain over the past six months, outpacing both industry peers and the S&P 500, reinforcing momentum.
Fundamentally, the company posts robust 24% revenue growth, a stellar ROE of 45.6%, and a low trailing PE of 10.9, underscoring strong earnings power. While the balance sheet shows elevated debt‑to‑equity, cash reserves and operating cash flow remain solid, and the firm pays no dividend, aligning with its growth‑oriented profile. The diversified geographic footprint across Europe, the United States and Asia, combined with exposure to high‑growth end‑markets such as aerospace and electric‑vehicle battery foils, supports a favorable long‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, the company posts robust 24% revenue growth, a stellar ROE of 45.6%, and a low trailing PE of 10.9, underscoring strong earnings power. While the balance sheet shows elevated debt‑to‑equity, cash reserves and operating cash flow remain solid, and the firm pays no dividend, aligning with its growth‑oriented profile. The diversified geographic footprint across Europe, the United States and Asia, combined with exposure to high‑growth end‑markets such as aerospace and electric‑vehicle battery foils, supports a favorable long‑term outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages indicating bullish momentum
- Support level provides downside cushion
- Analyst consensus of Strong Buy and significant recent price appreciation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high ROE driving earnings expansion
- DCF valuation suggests substantial upside
- Exposure to aerospace and EV battery markets supporting demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable competitive position in high‑tech aluminum applications
- Consistently high profitability metrics (PE, ROE)
- Long‑term structural trends toward lightweighting and electrification
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.40%
Profit Margin4.87%
P/E Ratio10.9
ROE45.65%
ROA6.97%
Debt/Equity174.29
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$504.0M
Free Cash Flow$-23750000
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.3
Support$30.59
Resistance$36.99
MA 20$34.38
MA 50$32.68
MA 200$22.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$77.82
Target Price$36.94
Upside/Downside8.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.96
Volatility49.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.