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CSTM:NYSEConstellium SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$34.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Constellium’s share price is currently trading above both its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI near 51. The stock sits comfortably above the identified support level of $30.59 and below the resistance at $36.99, with a market price of $34, indicating limited downside risk in the near term. High beta (≈2.0) and a 30‑day volatility of nearly 50% suggest pronounced price swings, yet the DCF fair value of $77.8 points to substantial upside, echoed by an 8.6% upside/downside metric and a “Strong Buy” analyst consensus. Recent news highlights a remarkable 92.9% price gain over the past six months, outpacing both industry peers and the S&P 500, reinforcing momentum.
Fundamentally, the company posts robust 24% revenue growth, a stellar ROE of 45.6%, and a low trailing PE of 10.9, underscoring strong earnings power. While the balance sheet shows elevated debt‑to‑equity, cash reserves and operating cash flow remain solid, and the firm pays no dividend, aligning with its growth‑oriented profile. The diversified geographic footprint across Europe, the United States and Asia, combined with exposure to high‑growth end‑markets such as aerospace and electric‑vehicle battery foils, supports a favorable long‑term outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term moving averages indicating bullish momentum
  • Support level provides downside cushion
  • Analyst consensus of Strong Buy and significant recent price appreciation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE driving earnings expansion
  • DCF valuation suggests substantial upside
  • Exposure to aerospace and EV battery markets supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable competitive position in high‑tech aluminum applications
  • Consistently high profitability metrics (PE, ROE)
  • Long‑term structural trends toward lightweighting and electrification

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.40%
Profit Margin4.87%
P/E Ratio10.9
ROE45.65%
ROA6.97%
Debt/Equity174.29
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$504.0M
Free Cash Flow$-23750000

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.3
Support$30.59
Resistance$36.99
MA 20$34.38
MA 50$32.68
MA 200$22.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$77.82
Target Price$36.94
Upside/Downside8.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.96
Volatility49.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.