CSQ:NASDAQCalamos Strategic Total Return Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$20.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $20.52, comfortably above its 20‑day ($20.30), 50‑day ($19.87) and 200‑day ($19.13) simple moving averages, signaling a bullish price bias. RSI sits at 57.3, indicating room for upside without being overbought, while the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, suggesting a short‑term momentum pause near the $20.82 resistance level. Support at $19.37 remains intact and volume has been stable, providing a solid technical foundation. However, the fund is currently quoted at a -9.8% discount to NAV, widening from recent levels and creating a potential entry point if the discount narrows.
The fund offers an attractive 7.15% dividend yield and exhibits a beta of ~1.3, implying higher sensitivity to market moves. A 30‑day volatility of 19% and a max drawdown of –16.4% reflect moderate risk, while the Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 (“Extreme Greed”) underscores strong market appetite. Together, these factors support a cautiously optimistic stance, with the discount providing downside cushion and the dividend offering income stability.
The fund offers an attractive 7.15% dividend yield and exhibits a beta of ~1.3, implying higher sensitivity to market moves. A 30‑day volatility of 19% and a max drawdown of –16.4% reflect moderate risk, while the Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 (“Extreme Greed”) underscores strong market appetite. Together, these factors support a cautiously optimistic stance, with the discount providing downside cushion and the dividend offering income stability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above all major SMAs
- MACD bearish divergence near resistance
- Stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Widening discount offering upside potential
- Strong 7.15% dividend yield
- Bullish technical trend with support intact
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent high dividend income
- Historical outperformance relative to broad market
- Discount cushion mitigating long‑run volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price20.52
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendWidening
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.3
Support$19.37
Resistance$20.82
MA 20$20.30
MA 50$19.87
MA 200$19.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Risk Assessment
Beta1.12
Volatility19.09%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.