CRWV:NASDAQCoreWeave, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time
$117.95
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
CoreWeave (CRWV) trades around its 20‑day simple moving average with the 20‑day SMA just above the 50‑day SMA, signaling a neutral price trend. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above the signal line, offering a bullish technical signal, while the RSI at the mid‑50s suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume has remained stable, supporting the current price action, and the market sentiment index is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, indicating strong short‑term demand. The discounted cash flow model places fair value near $216, implying roughly a 20% upside from the current price, which aligns with the analyst consensus of a "Buy" recommendation.
Fundamentally, the company posted over $6.2 billion in revenue with double‑digit growth and a healthy gross margin, yet it remains unprofitable with negative operating and net margins, a sizable debt load, and negative free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, and the stock carries no dividend. Despite these challenges, the AI‑focused cloud infrastructure market offers significant tailwinds, and analysts (33 in total) have a bullish outlook, reinforcing a medium‑term upside narrative.
Fundamentally, the company posted over $6.2 billion in revenue with double‑digit growth and a healthy gross margin, yet it remains unprofitable with negative operating and net margins, a sizable debt load, and negative free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, and the stock carries no dividend. Despite these challenges, the AI‑focused cloud infrastructure market offers significant tailwinds, and analysts (33 in total) have a bullish outlook, reinforcing a medium‑term upside narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram and line
- Price holding above the 20‑day SMA
- Stable trading volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth exceeding 10% YoY
- DCF‑derived upside potential of roughly 20%
- Analyst consensus of 33 "Buy" ratings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term AI cloud infrastructure tailwinds
- High leverage and negative free cash flow
- Absence of dividend and ongoing profitability challenges
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth111.60%
Profit Margin-25.57%
P/E Ratio-145.6
ROE-40.67%
ROA-0.22%
Debt/Equity738.54
P/B Ratio13.2
Op. Cash Flow$6.0B
Free Cash Flow$-8560327168
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.1
Support$91.02
Resistance$132.15
MA 20$107.63
MA 50$111.38
MA 200$100.40
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
Fair Value$216.08
Target Price$140.18
Upside/Downside18.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.84
Volatility85.90%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.