CRISIL:NSECRISIL Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
₹4,087.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CRISIL is trading at INR 4,087.5, just above its computed support of INR 3,990 and well below the 20‑day SMA of INR 4,207, indicating limited upside in the near term. Technicals show a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI around 44, while the 30‑day volatility of 27% and a beta below 1 suggest moderate price swings in a market currently marked by an "Extreme Greed" sentiment (fear‑greed index 88.66).
Fundamentally, the company posted a 30% revenue growth year‑over‑year and a 45.9% jump in quarterly profit, yet its trailing P/E of 35.7 is more than double the industry average of 16.7, signaling an overvalued price relative to peers. Despite this, a payout ratio of 53% and a cash‑rich balance sheet (cash ≈ INR 13.4 bn vs debt ≈ INR 3.0 bn) support the sustainability of its 0.87% dividend yield.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 30% revenue growth year‑over‑year and a 45.9% jump in quarterly profit, yet its trailing P/E of 35.7 is more than double the industry average of 16.7, signaling an overvalued price relative to peers. Despite this, a payout ratio of 53% and a cash‑rich balance sheet (cash ≈ INR 13.4 bn vs debt ≈ INR 3.0 bn) support the sustainability of its 0.87% dividend yield.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above support level
- Bearish MACD signal
- Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust 30% YoY revenue growth
- Strong earnings expansion and sustainable dividend
- Potential upside of ~20% to target price of INR 4,908
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Overvalued valuation multiples relative to industry
- Consistent cash generation and low leverage
- Steady dividend payout supporting income investors
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.10%
Profit Margin21.56%
P/E Ratio35.7
Debt/Equity9.79
P/B Ratio9.9
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.5
Support₹3,990.20
Resistance₹4,463.90
MA 20₹4,207.20
MA 50₹4,114.40
MA 200₹4,593.25
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.66
Valuation
Target Price₹4,908.00
Upside/Downside20.07%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility27.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.