CRIN:XETRUniCredit S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time
€80.53
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
UniCredit (CRIN) is trading at €80.53, just shy of its 52‑week high of €80.75 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 73.96. Technicals remain bullish with a MACD histogram of 0.64, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI of 72 indicating strong momentum, while volume is on an upward trend. Fundamentally, the bank trades at a PE of 11.1, well below the industry average of 16.9, and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.05% with a modest payout ratio of ~40%, suggesting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet shows a low beta of 0.43 and a volatility of 26% over the past 30 days, reflecting relatively low market sensitivity but heightened price swings. Revenue growth of 6.4% and an operating margin of 62% underscore solid earnings power.
Given the proximity to resistance, the elevated RSI, and the strong fundamental backdrop, the stock appears positioned for continued upside on a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, especially for income‑focused investors. However, short‑term caution is warranted as the price approaches its resistance level and may experience a pull‑back.
Given the proximity to resistance, the elevated RSI, and the strong fundamental backdrop, the stock appears positioned for continued upside on a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, especially for income‑focused investors. However, short‑term caution is warranted as the price approaches its resistance level and may experience a pull‑back.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at €80.75
- RSI in overbought territory (72)
- Increasing volume but potential short‑term pull‑back
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to peers
- Strong operating margin and revenue growth
- Sustainable dividend yield of 4.05%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Low beta and defensive banking franchise
- Consistent high dividend payouts
- Robust capital position and earnings stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin44.62%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE16.98%
ROA1.34%
P/B Ratio1.8
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.9
Support€70.10
Resistance€80.75
MA 20€73.96
MA 50€70.86
MA 200€67.97
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.43
Volatility26.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.