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CRIN:XETRUniCredit S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time

€80.53

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

UniCredit (CRIN) is trading at €80.53, just shy of its 52‑week high of €80.75 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 73.96. Technicals remain bullish with a MACD histogram of 0.64, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI of 72 indicating strong momentum, while volume is on an upward trend. Fundamentally, the bank trades at a PE of 11.1, well below the industry average of 16.9, and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.05% with a modest payout ratio of ~40%, suggesting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet shows a low beta of 0.43 and a volatility of 26% over the past 30 days, reflecting relatively low market sensitivity but heightened price swings. Revenue growth of 6.4% and an operating margin of 62% underscore solid earnings power.
Given the proximity to resistance, the elevated RSI, and the strong fundamental backdrop, the stock appears positioned for continued upside on a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, especially for income‑focused investors. However, short‑term caution is warranted as the price approaches its resistance level and may experience a pull‑back.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at €80.75
  • RSI in overbought territory (72)
  • Increasing volume but potential short‑term pull‑back

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to peers
  • Strong operating margin and revenue growth
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 4.05%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and defensive banking franchise
  • Consistent high dividend payouts
  • Robust capital position and earnings stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin44.62%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE16.98%
ROA1.34%
P/B Ratio1.8
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI71.9
Support€70.10
Resistance€80.75
MA 20€73.96
MA 50€70.86
MA 200€67.97
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.43
Volatility26.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.