CRIN:XETRUniCredit S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
€72.96
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
UniCredit (CRIN) is trading at €72.96, comfortably above its 20‑day (€72.62), 50‑day (€69.76) and 200‑day (€67.74) moving averages, indicating a bullish price backdrop. Technical signals are mixed: while the overall trend is bullish and the RSI sits at a neutral 55, the MACD histogram is negative and volume is slipping, suggesting short‑term caution. On the fundamentals side, the stock looks significantly undervalued with a trailing PE of 10 versus an industry average of 16.8, a robust operating margin of 62%, and a profit margin of 45%. The latest earnings call highlighted a 16% YoY profit jump to €3.2 bn and a 26% return on tangible equity, reinforcing the strength of core earnings. Dividend appeal is strong, offering a 4.32% yield on a 40% payout ratio, and the balance sheet shows ample cash (€113 bn) relative to debt (€133 bn). However, the 30‑day volatility of ~31% and declining trading volume signal heightened market risk, while the banking sector faces medium regulatory and geographic exposure. Overall, the stock presents a compelling value case with solid earnings and dividend support, but investors should watch for short‑term technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages supports bullish bias
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume raise caution
- Strong dividend yield provides downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to peers
- Record earnings and rising profit margins
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistently high ROE and operating margins
- Low beta indicating defensive profile
- Solid cash position and ongoing dividend growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin44.62%
P/E Ratio10.0
ROE16.98%
ROA1.34%
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.9
Support€70.10
Resistance€74.88
MA 20€72.62
MA 50€69.76
MA 200€67.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.32%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility30.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.