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CRDL:NASDAQCardiol Therapeutics Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-23 - not real-time

$1.06

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Cardiol Therapeutics trades at $1.06, well below its 20‑day ($1.14), 50‑day ($1.28) and 200‑day ($1.11) simple moving averages, indicating a technical weakness. The RSI of 33 signals oversold conditions, yet the MACD histogram remains negative and the MACD line sits just under its signal, reinforcing a bearish momentum. On the fundamentals side, the company reports zero revenue, a -$35.6M EBITDA, and a cash burn of roughly $13M in free cash flow, while its price‑to‑book ratio of 6.95 is far above the book value per share of $0.15. Volatility is elevated at 36.8% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.23 suggests the stock moves more aggressively than the market. Despite these red flags, analyst targets imply a 572% upside, and the Fear‑Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong speculative sentiment.
Given the combination of weak technical signals, a cash‑intensive clinical‑stage business model, and a market that appears overly optimistic, investors should treat CRDL as a high‑risk, high‑potential play that currently lacks earnings support.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning buying interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential catalyst from Phase III trial readouts
  • High cash balance relative to minimal debt
  • Elevated volatility that could produce price swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Large upside potential reflected in analyst target prices
  • Growth‑oriented pipeline (CardiolRx, CRD‑38)
  • Long‑term market appetite for innovative cardiac therapies

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-5.4
ROE-173.96%
ROA-78.25%
Debt/Equity0.48
P/B Ratio7.0
Op. Cash Flow$-24218514
Free Cash Flow$-13050252
Industry P/E24.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.4
Support$1.02
Resistance$1.38
MA 20$1.14
MA 50$1.28
MA 200$1.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.57

Valuation

Target Price$7.13
Upside/Downside572.47%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility36.83%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.