CRCL:NYSECircle Internet Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-10-03 - not real-time
$81.25
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Circle Internet Group is priced at $81.25, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. It has lost 2.9% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 43.8 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $78.26 and resistance around $102.79.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 16.6 versus a 15.2 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 29.3% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.6% on a 15.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 91.3%, a beta of 2.97 and a maximum drawdown of 66.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 16.6 versus a 15.2 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 29.3% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.6% on a 15.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 91.3%, a beta of 2.97 and a maximum drawdown of 66.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Key Stats for Circle Internet Group StockTuesday’s Performance: -11%52-Week Range: $50 to $159Valuation Model Target...Circle Internet Group NYSE:CRCL is set to become Chelsea Football Club's new front of shirt principal partner for the...David Moadel Aug 11, 2026 0 Bambooshot / Shutterstock.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 86.05
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day volatility of 91.3%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.6 versus sector average of 15.2
- Trading below the 200-day average of 86.05
- Analyst targets imply +29.3% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.6 versus sector average of 15.2
- Analyst targets imply +29.3% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 15.5% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.60%
Profit Margin15.53%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE15.35%
ROA0.19%
Debt/Equity0.45
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$776.9M
Free Cash Flow$206.2M
Industry P/E15.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.8
Support$78.26
Resistance$102.79
MA 20$89.59
MA 50$81.40
MA 200$86.05
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.09
Valuation
Fair Value$18.18
Target Price$105.02
Upside/Downside29.25%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.97
Volatility91.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.