CRCL:NYSECircle Internet Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time
$73.17
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Circle Internet Group is priced at $73.17 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. It has gained 6.6% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 57.1 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $57.84 and resistance around $75.89.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 14.7 versus a 16.9 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 38.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.6% on a 15.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 73.4%, a beta of 3.01 and a maximum drawdown of 66.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 14.7 versus a 16.9 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 38.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.6% on a 15.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 73.4%, a beta of 3.01 and a maximum drawdown of 66.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Circle's stock rose 5% after Q2 earnings beat profit forecasts, with USDC supply up 19% and a renewed Coinbase deal...David Moadel Tue, August 11, 2026 at 7:25 PM UTC 0 Quick Read - CRCL trades near $71, down 10% in 2026, yet Circle...On July 10, 2026, Clear Street analyst Owen Lau noted that Circle Internet Group NYSE:CRCL received final approval from...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 86.12
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 14.7 versus sector average of 16.9
- Trading below the 200-day average of 86.12
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.7 versus sector average of 16.9
- Analyst targets imply +38.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 15.5% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.60%
Profit Margin15.53%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE15.35%
ROA0.19%
Debt/Equity0.45
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$776.9M
Free Cash Flow$206.2M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI57.1
Support$57.84
Resistance$75.89
MA 20$66.32
MA 50$69.47
MA 200$86.12
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Valuation
Fair Value$19.13
Target Price$101.07
Upside/Downside38.13%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.01
Volatility73.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.