CPNG:NYSECoupang, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$15.62
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Coupang’s stock is trading at $15.62, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs of 18.16, 19.04 and 24.45, signaling a persistent bearish trend. The RSI of 30.8 hints at oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD (line below signal and negative histogram) reinforces downside momentum. Price sits near the identified support at $15.03 with resistance around $20.98, and the stock exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of 56% and a beta of 1.27**,** suggesting amplified market swings.
Fundamentally, the company posted $35.1 B of revenue growing 7.5% YoY, yet it remains unprofitable with an operating margin of -2.8% and a trailing EPS of -0.10. Cash balances ($6.3 B) marginally exceed debt ($5.4 B), but the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 137% signals leverage risk. Analysts’ median price target of $28 and a “buy” consensus imply a perceived upside, but recent earnings misses, a Citigroup downgrade to neutral, and a DCF fair‑value estimate of only $2.9 underscore significant valuation concerns.
Fundamentally, the company posted $35.1 B of revenue growing 7.5% YoY, yet it remains unprofitable with an operating margin of -2.8% and a trailing EPS of -0.10. Cash balances ($6.3 B) marginally exceed debt ($5.4 B), but the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 137% signals leverage risk. Analysts’ median price target of $28 and a “buy” consensus imply a perceived upside, but recent earnings misses, a Citigroup downgrade to neutral, and a DCF fair‑value estimate of only $2.9 underscore significant valuation concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near technical support
- Bearish MACD and overall downtrend
- RSI approaching oversold territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 7.5% and positive forward EPS
- Analyst consensus median target of $28 indicating upside
- Stable operating cash flow despite current losses
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
- High leverage and negative profitability metrics
- Long‑term growth opportunities in new services (Eats, Play, fintech)
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.50%
Profit Margin-0.47%
P/E Ratio33.8
ROE-3.99%
ROA0.38%
Debt/Equity137.30
P/B Ratio7.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$242.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.8
Support$15.03
Resistance$20.98
MA 20$18.16
MA 50$19.04
MA 200$24.45
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.16
Valuation
Fair Value$2.89
Target Price$27.12
Upside/Downside73.61%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility56.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.