CPI:JSECapitec Bank Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
ZAC 465,704.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Capitec Bank (CPI.JO) is trading at 465,704 ZAc, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 452,702, 50‑day SMA of 443,922 and 200‑day SMA of 418,855, indicating a strong bullish bias. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD (histogram ≈ 1,059) and an RSI of 60.7, suggesting room for further upside without immediate overbought pressure. The stock sits midway between its key support (428,527) and resistance (483,802) levels, with volume trending upward, which supports the current price rally. Market sentiment is extremely positive, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 89.9 (“Extreme Greed”).
Fundamentally, CPI delivers robust profitability: operating margin ≈ 54%, profit margin ≈ 40% and ROE ≈ 30.5%, while revenue is growing at 16.4% YoY. The dividend yield of 1.71% is backed by a 48% payout ratio, indicating sustainability. However, the trailing P/E of 32 is more than double the industry average of 16.9, pointing to a premium valuation, though forward P/E contracts to 22.9 and analysts project a median target of 520,500 ZAc, implying modest upside.
Fundamentally, CPI delivers robust profitability: operating margin ≈ 54%, profit margin ≈ 40% and ROE ≈ 30.5%, while revenue is growing at 16.4% YoY. The dividend yield of 1.71% is backed by a 48% payout ratio, indicating sustainability. However, the trailing P/E of 32 is more than double the industry average of 16.9, pointing to a premium valuation, though forward P/E contracts to 22.9 and analysts project a median target of 520,500 ZAc, implying modest upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicating momentum
- Price above all key SMAs
- Increasing volume supporting the rally
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and ROE
- Revenue growth of 16% YoY
- Analyst median price target above current level
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield with sub‑50% payout
- Resilient balance sheet and low leverage
- Potential regulatory and macro‑economic headwinds in South Africa
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.40%
Profit Margin39.68%
P/E Ratio32.0
ROE30.50%
ROA6.71%
P/B Ratio9.1
Op. Cash FlowZAC3.2B
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.7
SupportZAC 428,527.00
ResistanceZAC 483,802.00
MA 20ZAC 452,701.95
MA 50ZAC 443,921.50
MA 200ZAC 418,854.99
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
Fair ValueZAC 95,914.91
Target PriceZAC 505,093.90
Upside/Downside8.46%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.28
Volatility17.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.