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CPG:LSECompass Group PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$33.43

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum remains bullish as the short‑term moving average sits above the medium‑term average, both comfortably above the long‑term average, while the RSI stays in the upper half of its range. However, the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative and volume is trending down, suggesting a near‑term pullback risk near the current resistance zone.
Fundamental indicators are mixed: earnings multiples are elevated, yet the company delivers strong ROE and a modest dividend yield backed by solid free cash flow. The DCF fair‑value estimate lies well below the market price, but analyst consensus targets sit above the current level, implying upside in the low‑teens percentage range despite high volatility and a beta that points to above‑average market sensitivity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching resistance
  • bearish MACD signal
  • decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • double‑digit revenue growth
  • strong ROE and cash generation
  • analyst target price upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • global franchise model with diversified client base
  • sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
  • long‑term earnings growth despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.70%
Profit Margin4.16%
P/E Ratio28.1
ROE26.88%
ROA7.29%
Debt/Equity113.11
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash Flow$3.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.4
Support$29.06
Resistance$34.69
MA 20$32.28
MA 50$30.51
MA 200$25.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Fair Value$19.00
Target Price$38.28
Upside/Downside14.50%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.10
Volatility35.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.