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CP:TSXCanadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-17 - not real-time

CA$129.78

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited is priced at CAD 129.78 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. It has gained 4.2% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 56.3 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at CAD 122.05 and resistance at CAD 131.89.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 30.2 sits in line with the sector average of 30.9. Analyst price targets sit 7.5% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 12.6% on a 25.0% profit margin. The 0.76% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 20.8%, a beta of 0.40 and a maximum drawdown of 12.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 6 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd CP posts record Q2 freight revenues and EPS growth of 13%, while navigating coal...In June 2026, Canadian Pacific Kansas City reported record grain transportation, moving 2.Canadian Pacific Kansas City reported record grain and grain product transportation volumes across Canada and the...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 112.95
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 30.2 versus sector average of 30.9
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 112.95

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 30.2 versus sector average of 30.9
  • Analyst targets imply +7.5% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 25.0% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.60%
Profit Margin25.03%
P/E Ratio30.2
ROE8.15%
ROA4.44%
Debt/Equity52.82
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCA$5.5B
Free Cash FlowCA$2.2B
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.3
SupportCA$122.05
ResistanceCA$131.89
MA 20CA$128.32
MA 50CA$126.25
MA 200CA$112.95
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.98

Valuation

Fair ValueCA$26.04
Target PriceCA$139.53
Upside/Downside7.51%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility20.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.