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COPEC:BCSEmpresas Copec S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

CLP 6,208.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Empresas Copec delivers earnings that beat expectations, driven by a robust energy division and a modest revenue uplift, while trading at a price‑earnings multiple markedly lower than its industry peers and offering an attractive dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued relative to comparable conglomerates, and the discounted cash‑flow model points to upside potential.
Technically, the share price sits below its short‑term moving averages and the MACD signals bearish momentum, yet volume is rising and the price remains above a key support zone, providing a defensive cushion. The low beta indicates limited market‑wide volatility, and the dividend appears sustainable given solid operating cash flow despite a high leverage profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat provides short‑term confidence
  • Bearish technical positioning below key averages
  • Price remains above a solid support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation relative to industry peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Energy division momentum supporting earnings growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low market beta reduces systematic risk
  • Dividend income stream enhances total return
  • Strategic exposure to renewable and energy transition opportunities

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.00%
Profit Margin3.13%
P/E Ratio10.0
ROE7.07%
ROA3.05%
Debt/Equity87.18
P/B Ratio552.5
Op. Cash FlowCLP2.6B
Free Cash FlowCLP-717200256
Industry P/E29.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.4
SupportCLP 5,980.00
ResistanceCLP 6,655.40
MA 20CLP 6,272.36
MA 50CLP 6,401.12
MA 200CLP 6,835.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.13

Valuation

Fair ValueCLP 15.96
Target PriceCLP 7,480.32
Upside/Downside20.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.90%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility25.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.