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COPEC:BCSEmpresas Copec S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CLP 6,651.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading near a key support level with the short‑term moving average sitting below the mid‑term average, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish technical stance. Momentum indicators show an RSI in the oversold region and a bearish MACD divergence, which could set the stage for a short‑term bounce but also warn of continued downside pressure. Volume has remained stable, and market sentiment is currently in an extreme greed mode, indicating strong buyer enthusiasm despite the technical softness.
Fundamentally, the company delivers modest revenue growth and thin margins, yet its price‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average, pointing to a valuation gap. Debt levels are elevated relative to equity, but cash flow generation remains positive and the dividend payout ratio is comfortably moderate, supporting dividend sustainability. The discounted cash flow model implies a substantial upside relative to the current price, making the stock attractive from a value perspective while the dividend yield adds an income cushion.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near identified support level
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap versus peers
  • stable dividend payout
  • positive cash flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • diversified conglomerate exposure to renewable energy and forestry
  • sustained dividend income
  • undervalued relative to discounted cash flow estimate

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.80%
Profit Margin2.96%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE6.69%
ROA3.02%
Debt/Equity84.12
P/B Ratio603.8
Op. Cash FlowCLP2.0B
Free Cash FlowCLP-107423504
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.4
SupportCLP 6,534.40
ResistanceCLP 7,422.00
MA 20CLP 7,070.89
MA 50CLP 7,295.70
MA 200CLP 6,859.29
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair ValueCLP 15.88
Target PriceCLP 7,601.99
Upside/Downside14.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility24.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.