COP:NYSEConocoPhillips Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-06 - not real-time
$134.26
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ConocoPhillips is priced at $134.26 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Over a rolling month the price has gained 11.6%. With RSI at 62.8 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $119.17 as support and $137.42 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 17.8 versus a 17.8 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 8.2% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 35.5% on a 14.4% profit margin. The 2.50% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 30.2%, a beta of -0.52 and a maximum drawdown of 22.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 6 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 17.8 versus a 17.8 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 8.2% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 35.5% on a 14.4% profit margin. The 2.50% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 30.2%, a beta of -0.52 and a maximum drawdown of 22.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 6 out of 10.
Top Market Events
ConocoPhillips NYSE:COP picked a good week to hand over the keys.ConocoPhillips NYSE:COP picked a good week to hand over the keys.ConocoPhillips COP beats production guidance with record Permian output, doubles share repurchases, and advances LNG...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 112.74
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 17.8 versus sector average of 17.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 112.74
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 17.8 versus sector average of 17.8
- Analyst targets imply +8.2% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +35.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth35.50%
Profit Margin14.40%
P/E Ratio17.8
ROE14.18%
ROA7.53%
Debt/Equity35.64
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow$21.9B
Free Cash Flow$7.7B
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.8
Support$119.17
Resistance$137.42
MA 20$130.84
MA 50$120.17
MA 200$112.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
Fair Value$207.93
Target Price$145.33
Upside/Downside8.25%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.50%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.52
Volatility30.24%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.