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COP:NYSEConocoPhillips Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

$117.78

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ConocoPhillips is trading just below its short‑term moving average and above a well‑established support zone, while the 20‑day and 50‑day averages remain higher, indicating a modest short‑term downside bias. The RSI sits near the neutral midpoint and the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting emerging bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple that is comfortably below the industry average and a forward PE that signals strong earnings growth ahead. The company delivered an earnings beat in Q1 despite a modest revenue decline, generated robust cash flow, and secured a long‑term LNG supply contract, all while maintaining a healthy dividend payout. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a target price offering roughly twenty percent upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Quarterly earnings beat and strong cash generation
  • Bullish MACD histogram signaling early upside
  • Price positioned above a solid support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings growth reflected in a low forward PE
  • Analyst target price implying ~20% upside
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to energy‑transition and regulatory headwinds
  • Elevated leverage relative to cash balances
  • Steady dividend income and diversified global asset base

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.30%
Profit Margin12.33%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE11.28%
ROA5.87%
Debt/Equity36.14
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$18.0B
Free Cash Flow$5.3B
Industry P/E22.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.0
Support$112.64
Resistance$126.00
MA 20$118.41
MA 50$122.07
MA 200$104.35
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.77

Valuation

Fair Value$43.21
Target Price$142.77
Upside/Downside21.22%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.82%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.22
Volatility29.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.