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COIN:NASDAQCoinbase Global, Inc. analysis

Data as of Oct 2, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$181.65
Risk: high
9/10High risk

Summary

Coinbase Global, Inc. trades at $181.65, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 5.4%. Relative strength is 48.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $161.18 up to resistance at $208.33.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 64.1 sits above the sector average of 15.2. The average analyst target implies 14.1% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 17.3% on a -16.3% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 82.1%, a beta of 2.86 and a maximum drawdown of 63.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on sell — conviction 5 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Coinbase Global Inc. NASDAQ: COIN has evolved from a leading cryptocurrency exchange into one of the world’s largest...
  • Seeking Alpha17dCoinbase Global climbs 9% amid crypto-sector rally, regulatory hopesSA Spotlight uses AI to summarize...
  • In the latest trading session, Coinbase Global, Inc.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 185.40
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of +5.4%

Medium term

1–3 years

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 64.1 versus sector average of 15.2
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 185.40
  • Analyst targets imply +14.1% versus the current price

Long term

> 3 years

Cautious

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 64.1 versus sector average of 15.2
  • Negative profit margin of -16.3%
  • Analyst targets imply +14.1% versus the current price

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth-17.30%
Profit Margin-16.34%
P/E Ratio64.1
ROE-7.85%
ROA1.12%
Debt/Equity50.98
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.7B
Free Cash Flow$2.7B
Industry P/E15.2

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.7
Support$161.18
Resistance$208.33
MA 20$185.79
MA 50$172.81
MA 200$185.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.55

Valuation

Fair Value$127.65
Target Price$207.35
Upside/Downside14.15%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk assessment

Beta2.86
Volatility82.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.