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CMS:NYSECMS Energy Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$74.53

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CMS Energy is trading at $74.53, just above its 20‑day SMA ($74.07) but below the 50‑day SMA ($76.01), indicating a short‑term price edge while medium‑term momentum remains mixed. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (50.3) and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.14) despite a modestly decreasing volume trend, suggesting limited upside pressure in the near term. The stock’s PE ratio of 20.65 is below the industry average of 22.01, and the forward PE of 17.86 points to modest earnings growth expectations. Fundamentally, revenue grew 11.6% YoY to $8.82 B with operating margins near 20%, yet free cash flow turned negative (-$2.16 B) while debt‑to‑equity sits at a high 189.8%, raising leverage concerns. The dividend yield of 3.06% and a payout ratio of 60.8% remain attractive, supported by the recent earnings beat (EPS $1.13 vs. $1.01 forecast) and a bullish market sentiment reflected in an “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index reading of 91.6. With analysts targeting $80.86 (≈8.5% upside) and a mean recommendation of “Buy,” the stock offers a blend of value and growth attributes, but investors should monitor debt levels and cash‑flow dynamics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and revenue acceleration
  • Bullish MACD signal despite neutral RSI
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Target price of $80.86 implying ~8.5% upside
  • PE advantage versus industry peers
  • Continued dividend income and stable regulated cash flows

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative free cash flow
  • Regulatory stability of utility operations
  • Strategic shift toward clean energy assets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.60%
Profit Margin12.55%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE10.37%
ROA3.13%
Debt/Equity189.84
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$-2156000000
Industry P/E22.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.3
Support$71.53
Resistance$77.24
MA 20$74.07
MA 50$76.01
MA 200$73.59
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$31.89
Target Price$80.86
Upside/Downside8.49%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility19.29%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.