CMI:NYSECummins Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$664.02
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Cummins Inc. (CMI) is trading above its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, reinforcing a bullish price trend despite a recent dip toward a key support zone. The relative strength index sits near the neutral midpoint, suggesting limited overbought pressure, while the MACD histogram remains in negative territory, flagging short‑term momentum weakness. Volume has been stable, and the stock benefits from an “extreme greed” market sentiment, which supports continued buying interest.
Fundamentally, the company posted modest revenue growth and beat top‑line expectations, though earnings fell short of consensus. Analysts have raised the 2026 revenue outlook, and the consensus price targets remain materially above the current level, implying upside potential. Dividend sustainability appears solid with a moderate payout ratio and strong cash flow, while valuation metrics such as price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book are elevated relative to peers, indicating the stock may be priced on growth expectations.
Fundamentally, the company posted modest revenue growth and beat top‑line expectations, though earnings fell short of consensus. Analysts have raised the 2026 revenue outlook, and the consensus price targets remain materially above the current level, implying upside potential. Dividend sustainability appears solid with a moderate payout ratio and strong cash flow, while valuation metrics such as price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book are elevated relative to peers, indicating the stock may be priced on growth expectations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price remains above key moving averages
- MACD bearish divergence warns of near‑term pullback
- support level holds and dividend payout adds cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- raised revenue outlook and positive earnings momentum
- analyst price targets suggest upside
- sustainable dividend and strong cash generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- diversified industrial portfolio and exposure to clean‑energy transition
- elevated valuation relative to earnings and book value
- steady dividend and robust balance sheet support resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.70%
Profit Margin7.89%
P/E Ratio34.5
ROE21.99%
ROA7.27%
Debt/Equity61.62
P/B Ratio7.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.9B
Free Cash Flow$1.7B
Industry P/E30.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.4
Support$628.09
Resistance$718.08
MA 20$676.26
MA 50$621.69
MA 200$521.16
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.95
Valuation
Fair Value$142.54
Target Price$725.12
Upside/Downside9.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.20%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.61
Volatility42.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.