CM:TSX

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

CA$132.90

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) is trading at C$132.9, comfortably above its 50‑day SMA (C$130.3) but below the 20‑day SMA (C$135.0), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bullish trend. The stock enjoys a solid dividend yield of 3.16% with a modest payout ratio (≈41%), and recent news highlights its appeal as a dividend play. Valuation metrics are attractive – a trailing P/E of 14.1 versus the industry average of 17.4 and an upside potential of roughly 8% to the next resistance level (C$143.8). Operating margins are strong (44.7%) and revenue is growing at 16.7% YoY, though operating cash flow is negative, which warrants monitoring. Overall, the combination of undervalued pricing, steady dividend income, and supportive analyst sentiment (Buy) makes CM a compelling candidate for income‑focused investors, while the technical setup suggests cautious optimism for near‑term price appreciation.
Investors should weigh the modest volatility (≈23% 30‑day) and low beta (~0.42) against the bank’s strong fundamentals and dividend sustainability before positioning.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at C$128.6
  • Strong dividend yield supporting total return
  • MACD bearish crossover suggesting limited upside in the next few weeks

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 16.7% and high operating margins
  • Undervalued relative to peers (P/E 14.1 vs industry 17.4)
  • Analyst consensus (Buy) and upside potential to C$143.8

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend backed by strong capital and low payout ratio
  • Stable Canadian banking environment with low beta
  • Continued earnings expansion reflected in forward EPS and lower forward P/E

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.70%
Profit Margin33.53%
P/E Ratio14.1
ROE14.75%
ROA0.85%
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowCA$-26968000512
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.7
SupportCA$128.59
ResistanceCA$143.80
MA 20CA$135.00
MA 50CA$130.33
MA 200CA$113.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Target PriceCA$143.97
Upside/Downside8.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.42
Volatility22.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.