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CHILE:BCSBanco de Chile Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time

$82.33

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. trades at $82.33, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has gained 14.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 73.3 (overbought) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at $65.66 up to resistance at $84.50.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 16.9 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 3.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 136.7% on a 20.6% profit margin. The 1.26% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 40.1%, a beta of 1.04 and a maximum drawdown of 30.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • RSI at 73.3 signals overbought conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 74.89

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • RSI at 73.3 signals overbought conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 74.89

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Profit margin of 20.6% is healthy
  • Revenue growth of +136.7%
  • P/E ratio of 16.9

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth136.70%
Profit Margin20.62%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE21.82%
ROA11.55%
Debt/Equity61.25
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.8B
Free Cash Flow$2.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI73.3
Support$65.66
Resistance$84.50
MA 20$72.52
MA 50$73.27
MA 200$74.89
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.13

Valuation

Fair Value$314.41
Target Price$85.56
Upside/Downside3.92%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility40.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.