CHD:NYSEChurch & Dwight Company, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$95.75
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Church & Dwight’s stock is trading just above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, with the 14‑day RSI sitting in a neutral zone and a bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term upside momentum. The price is near a well‑defined support level in the low nineties and faces resistance just above the low one‑hundred mark, while the dividend yield remains modest but the payout ratio suggests the dividend is sustainable. Recent earnings showed a flat‑year‑on‑year revenue trend but a non‑GAAP profit that beat consensus, reinforcing the company’s defensive positioning in the consumer staples space.
Overall, the valuation appears slightly overvalued given a high trailing P/E relative to peers, yet the forward P/E and a solid growth‑to‑value mix point to a fair‑to‑blend profile. The dividend is deemed sustainable.
Risk factors are tempered by a very low beta, a defensive sector classification, and a modest volatility profile, though decreasing volume and medium liquidity risk keep the overall risk at a moderate level.
Overall, the valuation appears slightly overvalued given a high trailing P/E relative to peers, yet the forward P/E and a solid growth‑to‑value mix point to a fair‑to‑blend profile. The dividend is deemed sustainable.
Risk factors are tempered by a very low beta, a defensive sector classification, and a modest volatility profile, though decreasing volume and medium liquidity risk keep the overall risk at a moderate level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price hovering near short‑term moving averages
- bullish MACD histogram suggesting limited upside
- decreasing volume trend raising liquidity caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- sustained dividend yield with low payout ratio
- defensive consumer staples sector offering stability
- forward earnings estimates indicating earnings growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- low beta reflecting minimal market sensitivity
- stable defensive sector positioning
- moderate volatility and manageable drawdown risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin11.81%
P/E Ratio31.5
ROE16.78%
ROA8.14%
Debt/Equity56.79
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.7
Support$90.05
Resistance$100.62
MA 20$94.68
MA 50$95.07
MA 200$91.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Fair Value$54.28
Target Price$102.16
Upside/Downside6.69%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility26.84%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.