CHC:ASXCharter Hall Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
A$23.22
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Charter Hall Group (CHC) is trading at $23.22, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs and just shy of the calculated resistance at $23.75, indicating a bullish technical backdrop. The MACD is in a bullish configuration and the RSI sits at 71, flagging an overbought condition that could temper short‑term upside. Market sentiment is extremely positive, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 92, while volume trends are weakening, suggesting a potential pause near the resistance level.
Fundamentally, CHC delivers exceptional profitability with a 76% gross margin, 70% operating margin and a 32% profit margin, underpinned by 63% revenue growth year‑over‑year. The balance sheet is strong, featuring low leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~18%) and ample cash, and valuation metrics are attractive – a PE of ~20 versus an industry average of 32 and a modest upside of ~3% relative to the DCF fair value. Recent broker upgrades and an FY26 guidance lift, driven by robust capital inflows, reinforce the buy consensus among analysts.
Fundamentally, CHC delivers exceptional profitability with a 76% gross margin, 70% operating margin and a 32% profit margin, underpinned by 63% revenue growth year‑over‑year. The balance sheet is strong, featuring low leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~18%) and ample cash, and valuation metrics are attractive – a PE of ~20 versus an industry average of 32 and a modest upside of ~3% relative to the DCF fair value. Recent broker upgrades and an FY26 guidance lift, driven by robust capital inflows, reinforce the buy consensus among analysts.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price is near resistance and RSI indicates overbought conditions
- Decreasing volume could limit immediate upside
- Recent earnings upgrade may already be priced in
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margins support earnings expansion
- Analyst consensus is a buy with target prices above current levels
- FY26 guidance lift signals continued upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low leverage and solid cash flow generation provide financial resilience
- Diversified property portfolio mitigates sector‑specific risks
- Valuation is attractive relative to industry peers, offering a margin of safety
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO28.43024372863801
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI71.4
SupportA$18.99
ResistanceA$23.75
MA 20A$21.05
MA 50A$20.43
MA 200A$22.13
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility36.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.