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CHC:ASXCharter Hall Group Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

A$23.22

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Charter Hall Group (CHC) is trading at $23.22, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs and just shy of the calculated resistance at $23.75, indicating a bullish technical backdrop. The MACD is in a bullish configuration and the RSI sits at 71, flagging an overbought condition that could temper short‑term upside. Market sentiment is extremely positive, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 92, while volume trends are weakening, suggesting a potential pause near the resistance level.
Fundamentally, CHC delivers exceptional profitability with a 76% gross margin, 70% operating margin and a 32% profit margin, underpinned by 63% revenue growth year‑over‑year. The balance sheet is strong, featuring low leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~18%) and ample cash, and valuation metrics are attractive – a PE of ~20 versus an industry average of 32 and a modest upside of ~3% relative to the DCF fair value. Recent broker upgrades and an FY26 guidance lift, driven by robust capital inflows, reinforce the buy consensus among analysts.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near resistance and RSI indicates overbought conditions
  • Decreasing volume could limit immediate upside
  • Recent earnings upgrade may already be priced in

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins support earnings expansion
  • Analyst consensus is a buy with target prices above current levels
  • FY26 guidance lift signals continued upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low leverage and solid cash flow generation provide financial resilience
  • Diversified property portfolio mitigates sector‑specific risks
  • Valuation is attractive relative to industry peers, offering a margin of safety

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO28.43024372863801

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI71.4
SupportA$18.99
ResistanceA$23.75
MA 20A$21.05
MA 50A$20.43
MA 200A$22.13
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility36.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.