CHC:ASXCharter Hall Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
A$18.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Charter Hall Group (CHC.AX) is trading at AUD 18.8, just above the computed support level of 18.48 and well below the 30‑day resistance of 20.55, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. Technical indicators show an RSI of 36.7 (oversold) and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite the price staying above support.
Fundamentally, the REIT appears markedly undervalued: a trailing P/E of 16.8 is far below the industry REIT average of 32.6, the price‑to‑FFO proxy sits at 23.0 × earnings, and the discounted cash‑flow fair value of 5.08 × suggests a sizable upside potential relative to the current market price.
The dividend profile is attractive, with a 2.64 % yield and a modest 44 % payout ratio, supported by solid cash generation (operating cash flow of AUD 386 m) and a healthy balance sheet (debt‑to‑equity of 18.0 × ).
Risk‑wise, the stock exhibits a high market‑beta (quoted 1.386) and a moderate internal volatility (30‑day volatility 25 %), while volume trends are increasing, implying decent liquidity but also exposure to market swings.
Fundamentally, the REIT appears markedly undervalued: a trailing P/E of 16.8 is far below the industry REIT average of 32.6, the price‑to‑FFO proxy sits at 23.0 × earnings, and the discounted cash‑flow fair value of 5.08 × suggests a sizable upside potential relative to the current market price.
The dividend profile is attractive, with a 2.64 % yield and a modest 44 % payout ratio, supported by solid cash generation (operating cash flow of AUD 386 m) and a healthy balance sheet (debt‑to‑equity of 18.0 × ).
Risk‑wise, the stock exhibits a high market‑beta (quoted 1.386) and a moderate internal volatility (30‑day volatility 25 %), while volume trends are increasing, implying decent liquidity but also exposure to market swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price remains just above technical support
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- bearish MACD histogram signaling short‑term downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair‑value multiple (5.08×) versus market price
- substantially lower P/E relative to REIT peers
- attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- dividend sustainability backed by strong operating cash flow
- diversified asset portfolio across office, industrial, retail and social infrastructure
- long‑term growth outlook driven by integrated property investment and funds management model
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO23.018459409632314
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.7
SupportA$18.48
ResistanceA$20.55
MA 20A$19.74
MA 50A$19.64
MA 200A$22.28
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility25.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.