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CHC:ASXCharter Hall Group Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

A$19.99

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Charter Hall Group (CHC) is trading at AUD 19.99, well below its 20‑day (21.65), 50‑day (22.94) and 200‑day (22.22) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term price weakness. However, the RSI of 31 suggests the stock is oversold and the dividend yield of 2.47% with a 44% payout ratio provides immediate income support. Fundamentally, the REIT delivers robust profitability – gross margin of 76.7%, operating margin of 70% and profit margin of 32.5% – and a striking revenue growth of 63.7% YoY, while maintaining a low debt‑to‑equity of 18% and a healthy ROE of 17.9%.
The valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of 17.85 is well under the industry average of 33.0, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of AUD 25.1, implying roughly 26% upside. While volume trends are decreasing and the MACD remains bearish, the combination of strong cash flow, solid balance sheet, and a supportive dividend makes CHC a compelling medium‑term opportunity, provided the price respects the identified support around AUD 19.76.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near technical support at AUD 19.76
  • Oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
  • Stable dividend yield of 2.47% providing cash flow cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside potential (~26%) to analyst target of AUD 25.1
  • Strong earnings growth (63.7% revenue increase) and high margins
  • Attractive valuation versus industry PE (17.85 vs 33.0) and low debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified, high‑quality property portfolio across core sectors
  • Sustainable dividend policy with 44% payout ratio
  • Resilient balance sheet and consistent cash flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO24.482686607975143

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.1
SupportA$19.76
ResistanceA$25.51
MA 20A$21.65
MA 50A$22.94
MA 200A$22.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.09

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility36.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.