CHC:ASXCharter Hall Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
A$19.99
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Charter Hall Group (CHC) is trading at AUD 19.99, well below its 20‑day (21.65), 50‑day (22.94) and 200‑day (22.22) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term price weakness. However, the RSI of 31 suggests the stock is oversold and the dividend yield of 2.47% with a 44% payout ratio provides immediate income support. Fundamentally, the REIT delivers robust profitability – gross margin of 76.7%, operating margin of 70% and profit margin of 32.5% – and a striking revenue growth of 63.7% YoY, while maintaining a low debt‑to‑equity of 18% and a healthy ROE of 17.9%.
The valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of 17.85 is well under the industry average of 33.0, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of AUD 25.1, implying roughly 26% upside. While volume trends are decreasing and the MACD remains bearish, the combination of strong cash flow, solid balance sheet, and a supportive dividend makes CHC a compelling medium‑term opportunity, provided the price respects the identified support around AUD 19.76.
The valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of 17.85 is well under the industry average of 33.0, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of AUD 25.1, implying roughly 26% upside. While volume trends are decreasing and the MACD remains bearish, the combination of strong cash flow, solid balance sheet, and a supportive dividend makes CHC a compelling medium‑term opportunity, provided the price respects the identified support around AUD 19.76.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near technical support at AUD 19.76
- Oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
- Stable dividend yield of 2.47% providing cash flow cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside potential (~26%) to analyst target of AUD 25.1
- Strong earnings growth (63.7% revenue increase) and high margins
- Attractive valuation versus industry PE (17.85 vs 33.0) and low debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified, high‑quality property portfolio across core sectors
- Sustainable dividend policy with 44% payout ratio
- Resilient balance sheet and consistent cash flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO24.482686607975143
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.1
SupportA$19.76
ResistanceA$25.51
MA 20A$21.65
MA 50A$22.94
MA 200A$22.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.09
Risk Assessment
Beta0.50
Volatility36.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.