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CCU:BCSCompania Cervecerias Unidas S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

$11.64

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CCU trades at $11.64, comfortably below its 20‑day ($13.05), 50‑day ($13.79) and 200‑day ($12.86) simple moving averages, indicating a bearish price bias. However, the RSI of 27.6 points to an oversold condition and the stock sits just above a key support level at $11.43, suggesting limited downside risk in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid 3% dividend yield with a 58% payout ratio, a forward PE of 12.7 and a trailing PE of 16.6, positioning it as a value‑oriented play despite a recent 11.8% revenue contraction. Mixed Q4 results – Chile stabilizing while International and Wine segments lag – add uncertainty, but the defensive consumer‑beverages sector and attractive cash‑flow generation support a longer‑run upside thesis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI oversold suggesting a possible bounce
  • Price near technical support at $11.43
  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 3% dividend yield
  • Fair valuation with forward PE ~12.7
  • Mixed earnings but defensive sector footing

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow and sustainable dividend
  • Defensive consumer‑defensive positioning in South America
  • Potential recovery in Argentina and international segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.80%
Profit Margin4.03%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE8.35%
ROA3.05%
Debt/Equity78.14
P/B Ratio0.0
Free Cash Flow$47.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI27.6
Support$11.43
Resistance$14.59
MA 20$13.05
MA 50$13.79
MA 200$12.86
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$3,478.62
Target Price$11.55
Upside/Downside-0.77%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.60
Volatility34.80%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.