CCU:BCSCompania Cervecerias Unidas S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
$11.64
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CCU trades at $11.64, comfortably below its 20‑day ($13.05), 50‑day ($13.79) and 200‑day ($12.86) simple moving averages, indicating a bearish price bias. However, the RSI of 27.6 points to an oversold condition and the stock sits just above a key support level at $11.43, suggesting limited downside risk in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid 3% dividend yield with a 58% payout ratio, a forward PE of 12.7 and a trailing PE of 16.6, positioning it as a value‑oriented play despite a recent 11.8% revenue contraction. Mixed Q4 results – Chile stabilizing while International and Wine segments lag – add uncertainty, but the defensive consumer‑beverages sector and attractive cash‑flow generation support a longer‑run upside thesis.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a solid 3% dividend yield with a 58% payout ratio, a forward PE of 12.7 and a trailing PE of 16.6, positioning it as a value‑oriented play despite a recent 11.8% revenue contraction. Mixed Q4 results – Chile stabilizing while International and Wine segments lag – add uncertainty, but the defensive consumer‑beverages sector and attractive cash‑flow generation support a longer‑run upside thesis.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI oversold suggesting a possible bounce
- Price near technical support at $11.43
- Bearish MACD and negative histogram
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Attractive 3% dividend yield
- Fair valuation with forward PE ~12.7
- Mixed earnings but defensive sector footing
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash flow and sustainable dividend
- Defensive consumer‑defensive positioning in South America
- Potential recovery in Argentina and international segments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.80%
Profit Margin4.03%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE8.35%
ROA3.05%
Debt/Equity78.14
P/B Ratio0.0
Free Cash Flow$47.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI27.6
Support$11.43
Resistance$14.59
MA 20$13.05
MA 50$13.79
MA 200$12.86
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$3,478.62
Target Price$11.55
Upside/Downside-0.77%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.00%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.60
Volatility34.80%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.